FNUS75 KTWC 181431
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
731 AM MST SAT AUG 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 717 MST ON AUGUST 18. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FOR
A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A BOUNDARY
SITUATED OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM THIS MORNING WILL TRACK SOUTHWEST AND
SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE...EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL
AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS TO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

OTHERWISE...A SLOW DRYING TREND ON SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT...EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 TO 76 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 TO 65 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......2 PCT IN THE MORNING...THEN 50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 TO 82 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4 IN THE EVENING...THEN 2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 TO 78 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 TO 57 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS LOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120818.TRAIL.01/TWC