FNUS75 KBOU 191607 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ENCAMPMENT...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1007 AM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BRING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS BUT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON MONDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING A LITTLE MORE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND A SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH MORE CLOUDS AROUND. WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES BY. GENERALLY DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY RAIN WOULD BE ON WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-78. MIN HUMIDITY........15-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN WEST/NORTHWEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100... THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....51. MAX HUMIDITY........46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-71. MIN HUMIDITY........26-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ENCAMPMENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/19-09 2 0 0 55 38 E 2 2 2 1 NW24 617 N 2 968 P 08/19-10 2 0 0 62 31 NE 3 3 2 1 NW24 3294 N 7 40142 F 08/19-11 2 0 0 65 28 N 6 6 2 1 NW24 5972 N12 79315 G 08/19-12 14 1 0 70 23 NW 7 7 2 1 NW24 8649 NW16 118489 V 08/19-13 14 1 0 73 20 NW 8 8 2 1 NW22 9610 NW16 129410 V 08/19-14 14 1 0 74 19 W 9 9 2 1 NW20 10570 NW15 140331 V 08/19-15 22 3 1 75 18 W10 10 2 1 NW17 11531 NW15 151252 E 08/19-16 22 3 1 76 17 W10 10 2 1 NW16 11294 NW14 135815 V 08/19-17 22 3 1 75 17 NW10 10 2 1 NW14 11058 NW13 120378 V 08/19-18 36 3 1 74 18 NW 9 9 2 1 NW14 10822 NW12 104941 V 08/19-19 36 3 1 72 19 N 8 8 2 1 NW13 7686 N10 73564 G 08/19-20 36 3 1 68 22 NE 6 6 2 1 NW14 4551 N 9 42187 F 08/19-21 36 0 0 62 26 NE 5 5 2 1 NW14 1416 NE 9 10810 P 08/19-22 36 0 0 60 29 E 3 3 2 1 NW16 1040 NE 8 7661 P 08/19-23 36 0 0 58 31 E 3 3 3 1 NW17 665 E 7 4513 P 08/20-00 50 0 0 56 34 SE 3 3 3 1 NW18 289 SE 6 1365 P 08/20-01 50 0 0 55 35 SE 3 3 3 1 NW17 256 SE 5 1158 P 08/20-02 50 0 0 54 37 S 3 3 3 1 W16 223 S 5 952 P 08/20-03 50 0 0 53 37 S 3 3 3 1 W15 190 S 5 745 P 08/20-04 50 0 0 53 38 S 3 3 3 1 W14 192 S 5 762 P 08/20-05 50 0 0 52 40 S 3 3 2 1 W14 195 SW 5 778 P 08/20-06 59 7 1 51 43 S 3 3 2 1 SW14 197 SW 5 795 P 08/20-07 59 7 1 51 45 S 2 2 2 1 SW14 583 SW 6 3429 P 08/20-08 59 7 1 51 46 SW 2 2 2 1 SW14 969 W 7 6063 P 08/20-09 59 7 1 53 45 SW 2 2 2 1 SW14 1356 W 7 8697 P 08/20-10 59 7 1 58 38 SW 2 2 2 1 SW14 3479 W 7 16705 P 08/20-11 59 7 1 61 36 W 3 3 2 1 SW14 5603 W 6 24711 P 08/20-12 61 10 2 65 32 W 5 5 2 2 W15 7726 W 5 32718 P 08/20-13 61 10 2 68 30 W 6 6 2 2 W17 8430 W 7 52377 F 08/20-14 61 10 2 69 30 W 6 6 3 2 NW21 9133 NW 9 72036 G 08/20-15 61 10 2 69 31 W 7 7 3 2 NW23 9837 NW10 91695 G 08/20-16 61 10 2 69 32 NW 7 7 3 2 NW25 9753 NW12 101197 V 08/20-17 61 10 2 69 32 NW 7 7 3 2 NW25 9669 NW13 110700 V 08/20-18 45 10 2 69 33 NW 7 7 3 2 N26 9584 NW15 120202 V 08/20-19 45 10 2 67 35 N 6 6 3 2 N26 7664 NW12 87942 G 08/20-20 45 10 2 63 40 NE 5 5 3 2 N26 5744 N 9 55682 F 08/20-21 45 10 2 58 48 E 3 3 3 2 N26 3823 N 7 23422 P 08/20-22 45 10 2 55 52 E 2 2 3 2 N26 2655 N 5 15745 P 08/20-23 45 10 2 53 54 E 2 2 3 2 N25 1486 E 3 8069 P 08/21-00 21 7 1 52 56 E 2 2 3 1 N25 318 CALM 392 P 08/21-01 21 7 1 50 58 E 2 2 3 1 N26 290 CALM 313 P 08/21-02 21 7 1 49 59 E 2 2 3 1 N28 261 CALM 234 P 08/21-03 21 7 1 48 61 E 2 2 3 1 N29 233 CALM 155 P 08/21-04 21 7 1 47 62 SE 2 2 3 1 N29 218 CALM 133 P 08/21-05 21 7 1 46 64 SE 2 2 3 1 N26 203 CALM 112 P 08/21-06 11 4 1 45 66 SE 2 2 3 1 N25 188 CALM 90 P 08/21-07 11 4 1 45 66 SE 2 2 3 1 N24 284 CALM 256 P 08/21-08 11 4 1 47 62 S 3 3 3 1 N23 381 CALM 421 P 08/21-09 11 4 1 53 50 S 3 3 3 1 N21 478 CALM 586 P 08/21-10 11 4 1 59 40 SW 3 3 3 1 N20 3076 SW 3 21035 P 08/21-11 11 4 1 62 36 W 3 3 4 1 N18 5674 NW 6 41484 F 08/21-12 18 5 1 66 30 NW 3 3 4 1 N17 8271 N 8 61932 G 08/21-13 18 5 1 69 26 NW 5 5 4 1 N14 9153 N 8 62406 G 08/21-14 18 5 1 71 24 W 5 5 5 1 NW12 10035 NW 7 62880 G 08/21-15 18 5 1 72 23 W 6 6 5 1 NW 8 10917 NW 7 63354 G 08/21-16 18 5 1 72 22 W 6 6 5 1 NW 7 10906 NW 6 52466 F 08/21-17 18 5 1 72 21 NW 5 5 5 1 W 6 10896 NW 5 41578 F 08/21-18 23 4 1 71 21 NW 5 5 5 1 W 5 10885 NW 3 30690 P 08/21-19 23 4 1 69 23 W 5 5 5 1 W 6 7354 W 3 20715 P 08/21-20 23 4 1 65 27 W 5 5 5 1 SW 6 3823 SW 3 10740 P 08/21-21 23 4 1 59 32 SW 5 5 5 1 SW 7 292 SW 3 764 P 08/21-22 23 4 1 56 37 SW 5 5 5 1 SW10 263 SW 3 783 P 08/21-23 23 4 1 54 40 S 5 5 5 1 SW13 233 S 5 801 P 08/22-00 40 5 1 53 42 S 5 5 5 1 SW15 203 S 5 819 P 08/22-01 40 5 1 51 45 S 5 5 5 1 SW16 193 S 6 862 P 08/22-02 40 5 1 50 47 S 5 5 5 1 W17 183 S 6 905 P 08/22-03 40 5 1 49 49 S 5 5 5 1 W17 174 S 6 948 P 08/22-04 40 5 1 48 52 S 5 5 5 1 W18 176 S 7 1016 P 08/22-05 40 5 1 47 55 S 6 6 4 1 W18 178 SW 7 1085 P 08/22-06 61 17 3 47 56 S 6 6 4 3 W20 180 SW 7 1153 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120819.ENCAM.01/BOU