FNUS75 KBOU 200024 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ENCAMPMENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 630 PM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CLOUDS WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT. ON MONDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING A LITTLE MORE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND A SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH MORE CLOUDS AROUND. WINDS WILL TEND TOWARD LIGHT DIURNAL/NOCTURNAL UPVALLEY/DOWNVALLEY CIRCULATIONS...BUT THERE WILL BE A TENDENCY TOWARD NORTH TO NORTHWEST DIRECTIONS IN THE AFTERNOONS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THEN SOUTHWEST AFTER THAT. GENERALLY DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE OF ANY RAIN WOULD BE ON WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 2400 THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-50. MAX HUMIDITY........45-53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-72. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 8-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000 AND 10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-46. MAX HUMIDITY........63-73%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-76. MIN HUMIDITY........18-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0-4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 4000 FT AGL BY 1000. 10000 FT AGL AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ENCAMPMENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/19-18 23 0 0 73 16 N10 16 3 1 W15 11131 NW12 110847 V 08/19-19 23 0 0 72 17 NE 9 9 3 1 NW14 7578 N 9 74763 G 08/19-20 23 0 0 67 21 NE 7 7 3 1 NW14 4025 NE 8 38679 P 08/19-21 23 0 0 61 26 E 5 5 3 1 NW14 472 NE 6 2595 P 08/19-22 23 0 0 58 28 E 3 3 3 1 NW14 400 E 6 1948 P 08/19-23 23 0 0 56 30 E 3 3 3 1 NW15 328 E 5 1302 P 08/20-00 50 4 1 54 31 E 3 3 3 1 NW15 257 E 3 655 P 08/20-01 50 4 1 53 33 SE 3 3 3 1 NW16 241 SE 3 631 P 08/20-02 50 4 1 51 34 SE 3 3 3 1 W17 225 S 3 607 P 08/20-03 50 4 1 50 36 S 3 3 3 1 W18 209 S 3 583 P 08/20-04 50 4 1 49 38 S 3 3 3 1 W18 209 S 2 521 P 08/20-05 50 4 1 48 40 S 3 3 3 1 W18 209 S 2 459 P 08/20-06 59 17 3 47 43 S 5 5 3 3 W17 209 S 2 398 P 08/20-07 59 17 3 47 47 S 6 6 3 3 W12 471 S 5 2594 P 08/20-08 59 17 3 48 51 S 7 7 2 3 W 7 733 SW 6 4790 P 08/20-09 59 17 3 53 47 S 8 8 2 3 W 3 995 SW 8 6986 P 08/20-10 59 17 3 59 39 SW 8 8 2 3 W 3 3585 W 7 14197 P 08/20-11 59 17 3 61 36 W 9 9 2 3 SW 6 6175 W 6 21407 P 08/20-12 70 25 5 67 30 NW 9 14 2 4 SW 9 8764 W 3 28618 P 08/20-13 70 25 5 70 28 NW 9 15 2 4 SW13 9314 NW 6 43404 F 08/20-14 70 25 5 71 27 N10 15 2 4 W16 9864 NW 7 58191 F 08/20-15 70 25 5 72 27 N10 16 2 4 NW20 10415 NW 8 72978 G 08/20-16 70 25 5 72 27 N10 16 2 4 NW21 10562 NW 9 83977 G 08/20-17 70 25 5 72 28 N12 16 2 4 NW22 10710 NW10 94976 G 08/20-18 45 10 2 71 30 N10 16 2 2 NW23 10858 NW12 105975 V 08/20-19 45 10 2 69 32 NE 8 8 2 2 NW25 7984 N 9 73130 G 08/20-20 45 10 2 63 40 NE 6 6 2 2 NW28 5111 NE 6 40286 F 08/20-21 45 10 2 57 47 E 3 3 2 2 NW29 2238 NE 3 7442 P 08/20-22 45 10 2 54 52 E 2 2 2 2 NW30 1594 NE 3 5214 P 08/20-23 45 10 2 52 55 E 2 2 2 2 NW31 951 E 3 2987 P 08/21-00 22 7 1 51 56 E 2 2 2 1 NW31 307 E 2 760 P 08/21-01 22 7 1 50 58 E 2 2 2 1 NW29 287 E 2 631 P 08/21-02 22 7 1 49 59 E 2 2 2 1 NW26 267 SE 2 503 P 08/21-03 22 7 1 48 60 E 2 2 2 1 NW24 246 SE 2 374 P 08/21-04 22 7 1 47 62 SE 2 2 2 1 NW22 237 CALM 302 P 08/21-05 22 7 1 46 63 CALM 1 2 1 N21 228 CALM 229 P 08/21-06 11 4 1 44 67 CALM 1 2 1 N18 219 CALM 157 P 08/21-07 11 4 1 44 68 SE 2 2 2 1 N17 388 CALM 509 P 08/21-08 11 4 1 45 65 S 2 2 2 1 NW16 558 CALM 861 P 08/21-09 11 4 1 51 52 S 3 3 2 1 NW15 728 S 2 1214 P 08/21-10 11 4 1 57 41 SW 3 3 2 1 NW15 3236 S 3 13822 P 08/21-11 11 4 1 60 37 W 3 3 2 1 NW15 5743 W 5 26430 P 08/21-12 19 5 1 65 31 NW 3 3 2 1 NW14 8251 NW 6 39038 P 08/21-13 19 5 1 70 25 NW 5 5 2 1 NW13 9124 NW 6 46888 F 08/21-14 19 5 1 71 24 W 5 5 2 1 W12 9997 W 6 54739 F 08/21-15 19 5 1 72 22 W 6 6 2 1 W10 10870 W 7 62589 G 08/21-16 19 5 1 73 21 W 6 6 2 1 W10 10808 W 6 56290 F 08/21-17 19 5 1 72 21 NW 5 5 2 1 W 9 10747 W 6 49992 F 08/21-18 23 4 1 71 21 NW 5 5 2 1 W 9 10685 W 5 43694 F 08/21-19 23 4 1 70 22 W 5 5 2 1 W 9 7238 W 5 29409 P 08/21-20 23 4 1 65 25 W 5 5 2 1 SW 9 3790 SW 3 15124 P 08/21-21 23 4 1 60 31 SW 5 5 2 1 SW10 342 SW 2 839 P 08/21-22 23 4 1 57 35 SW 5 5 2 1 SW12 315 SW 3 928 P 08/21-23 23 4 1 55 38 S 5 5 2 1 W13 288 SW 5 1016 P 08/22-00 40 6 1 53 41 S 5 5 2 1 W15 261 S 5 1104 P 08/22-01 40 6 1 52 44 S 5 5 2 1 W15 248 S 6 1155 P 08/22-02 40 6 1 51 46 S 5 5 2 1 W15 236 SW 6 1205 P 08/22-03 40 6 1 50 48 S 5 5 2 1 W16 223 SW 7 1256 P 08/22-04 40 6 1 49 50 S 5 5 2 1 W17 217 SW 7 1313 P 08/22-05 40 6 1 48 53 S 6 6 2 1 W18 211 SW 8 1370 P 08/22-06 61 17 3 47 57 S 6 6 2 3 W20 204 SW 8 1427 P 08/22-07 61 17 3 47 59 S 7 7 2 3 W21 281 SW 9 2285 P 08/22-08 61 17 3 48 60 SW 7 7 2 3 W22 358 SW 9 3143 P 08/22-09 61 17 3 52 53 SW 8 8 2 3 W23 435 SW10 4002 P 08/22-10 61 17 3 57 46 SW 9 9 2 3 W24 2343 W12 28893 P 08/22-11 61 17 3 60 43 SW 9 15 2 3 W26 4251 W14 53784 F 08/22-12 71 25 5 64 39 W10 16 2 3 W26 6159 W15 78675 G 08/22-13 71 25 5 68 34 W12 16 2 3 W25 6974 W14 84505 G 08/22-14 71 25 5 68 33 W12 17 2 3 W23 7789 W14 90335 G 08/22-15 71 25 5 69 32 W12 17 2 3 NW20 8604 W13 96165 G 08/22-16 71 25 5 70 32 W12 16 2 3 W17 8477 W13 91397 G 08/22-17 71 25 5 69 33 W10 15 2 3 W15 8351 W12 86629 G 08/22-18 72 22 4 68 35 W 9 14 2 3 W13 8225 W12 81860 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120819.ENCAM.02/BOU