FNUS75 KGJT 192201
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
401 PM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1543 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY DRY AIR IN PLACE TODAY WILL BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER SURGE
OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. THERE WILL BE STORMS
IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING...THEN POSSIBLY A BRIEF
LULL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER AS THE MOISTURE
INCREASES TOWARD MORNING...LIFT FROM THE NEXT SYSTEM MAY ALLOW
SHOWERS OR STORMS TO REFORM TOWARD SUNRISE. THE CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
WITH A FAIR CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS AFFECTING THE BURN SITE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT NEAR
ANY STORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHERLY WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING
                    IN COVERAGE TOWARD SUNRISE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58 TO 62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 TO 74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...WYNN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120819.BURNS.01/GJT