FNUS75 KGJT 200356
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
956 PM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2103 MDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING OVER
COLORADO TOMORROW. THIS DISTURBANCE...ALONG WITH AMPLE MOISTURE
OVER THE BURN SITE...WILL ALLOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM
FROM NOON ONWARDS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SLOW MOVING ALLOWING HEAVY RAINFALL TO OCCUR. SMALL HAIL AND
SOME GUSTY SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE UNDER THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS AND STORMS. CLEARING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TOWARDS
EVENING GIVING WAY TO A RELATIVELY DRY DAY ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......450 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1PM.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 700.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120819.BURNS.02/GJT