FNUS75 KMSO 191801
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLEAK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1201 PM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1039 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THE THICKER CLOUD DECK THAT WAS IN PLACE OVERNIGHT
AND EARLIER THIS MORNING IS STEADILY MOVING EAST, PROVIDING ENOUGH
CLEARING TO HELP INITIATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. AS THE
ATMOSPHERE BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE, STORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR
AROUND OR AFTER 1500 PDT. DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF CLEARING AND
SUFFICIENT DAYTIME HEATING, ISOLATED STORMS MAY FIRE OFF A LITTLE
EARLIER. STORMS WILL BE MAINLY WIND-PRODUCERS, WITH ERRATIC GUSTS
OCCURRING DIRECTLY UNDER STORM CELLS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...84-90.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...73-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...13-19 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...20-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-4 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH 5-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER...49-54.
                    UPPER...60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER...53-58 PERCENT.
                    UPPER...36-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........STARTING CLEAR, THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER...82-88.
                    UPPER...70-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER...18-24 PERCENT.
                    UPPER...22-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...MARGARERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120819.BLEAK.01/MSO