FNUS75 KMSO 192052
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT AND DITCH FIRES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
252 PM MDT SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1336 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ENOUGH
TO HELP INITIATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORM CELLS HAVE
BEGUN TO BUILD TO YOUR SOUTH, ALONG THE IDAHO COUNTY AND LEMHI
COUNTY BORDER. STORMS WILL BE MOVING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST.
WE EXPECT CELLS TO CONTINUE TO FORM THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, AND
DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER 2000 PDT. STORMS WILL BE MAINLY WIND-
PRODUCERS, WITH ERRATIC GUSTS OCCURRING DIRECTLY UNDER STORM
CELLS. LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A FACTOR, AS STORMS ALREADY FORMING
HAVE HAD LIGHTNING STRIKES ASSOCIATED WITH THEM. OVERNIGHT THERMAL
BELTS/INVERSIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TO FORM ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT UNDER
CLEARING SKIES. INVERSIONS SHOULD LAST THROUGH 1800 PDT, MONDAY
MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...89-94.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...82-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...13-19 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...14-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SKIES THEN
                    CLEARING OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER...58-62.
                    UPPER...51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER...40-48 PERCENT.
                    UPPER...69-74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. INCREASING CLOUDS IN THE
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER...86-92.
                    UPPER...79-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER...14-19 PERCENT.
                    UPPER...16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...ELIZABETH SCHMIDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120819.GOATA.01/MSO