FNUS76 KSTO 200102
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORK BAGLEY COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
602 PM PDT SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1735 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE FIRE SITE TONIGHT...MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE
COAST ON MONDAY...AND WILL MOVE INLAND ON TUESDAY. GOOD MIXING IS
EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE SITE ON MONDAY WITH WINDS ALOFT MIXING DOWN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT COOLING TREND AND LOWERING MIXING
HEIGHT ARE FORECAST ON TUESDAY. ALSO...STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE RIDGE TOPS AS THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVES INLAND.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-69.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST TO NORTH UP TO 6 MPH BY OR AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...GRADUALLY BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST THEN SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO GROUND LEVEL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST LESS
                    THAN 3 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 10,000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST LESS THAN 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    AT 7 MPH.



FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...BRENDA GILLER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120819.FORKB.01/STO

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