FNUS75 KTWC 191519
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
818 AM MST SUN AUG 19 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 846 MST ON AUGUST 19. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA FOR A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TODAY.
STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOGOLLON RIM AROUND NOON...THEN TRACK
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE WILDFIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE
VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE...EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY ERRATIC
WINDS TO ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

OTHERWISE...NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS. EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THE
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 TO 78 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 TO 59 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING...THEN 4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN 50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 TO 74 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................4 IN THE EVENING...THEN 2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 80 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING...THEN 4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN 40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS LOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120819.TRAIL.01/TWC