FNUS75 KABQ 201424
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO DE A...TAOS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
824 AM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OVER EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA HAS
PUMPED ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND INCREASING INSTABILITY INTO THE
ATMOSPHERE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN UPTICK IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH STORM MOTION GENERALLY TO
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. RH
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE EXCELLENT. LESS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
EXPECTED TUESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS OVER NEW MEXICO.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
                       OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72-77.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 35-40 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 14 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD/133358 KNOT-FT AT 1300 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/99963 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING GOOD/97802 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 73-78 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT BY EARLY-EVENING BECOMING
                       POOR/2000 KNOT-FT BY LATE-EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-78.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-35 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD/94500 KNOT-FT AT 1200 LOCAL.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/64789 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING POOR/31500 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...ROBERT J  MONTOYA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120820.CERRO.01/ABQ