FNUS75 KBOU 201617 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ENCAMPMENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1017 AM MDT MON AUG 20 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...AND HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER WEATHER WILL REDEVELOP TUESDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY TODAY FROM THE WEST/NORTHWEST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70. MIN HUMIDITY........26-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...INCREASING TO 9800-10800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200... THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 0-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ENCAMPMENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/20-10 68 9 2 61 40 SW 8 8 2 1 SW12 3628 W 8 25010 P 08/20-11 68 9 2 63 37 W 9 9 2 1 W13 6228 W 8 43253 F 08/20-12 75 25 5 66 31 NW 9 9 2 3 W15 8828 W 8 61497 G 08/20-13 75 25 5 68 29 NW 9 9 2 3 W16 9536 W 9 79562 G 08/20-14 75 25 5 69 28 N10 10 2 3 NW18 10243 NW10 97628 G 08/20-15 75 25 5 70 27 N10 10 2 3 NW20 10950 NW13 115693 V 08/20-16 75 25 5 70 26 N 9 9 2 3 NW18 10793 NW12 112546 V 08/20-17 75 25 5 70 27 N 8 8 2 3 NW16 10636 NW12 109399 V 08/20-18 45 10 2 69 27 N 7 7 2 2 NW16 10479 NW12 106252 V 08/20-19 45 10 2 68 28 N 6 6 2 2 NW20 7435 NW 9 73176 G 08/20-20 45 10 2 64 30 NE 5 5 2 2 NW25 4391 N 8 40099 F 08/20-21 45 10 2 59 36 NE 5 5 2 2 NW30 1347 NE 6 7023 P 08/20-22 45 10 2 57 40 E 5 5 2 2 NW31 990 NE 6 5025 P 08/20-23 45 10 2 55 45 E 5 5 2 2 NW32 633 E 5 3027 P 08/21-00 21 6 1 54 48 E 5 5 2 1 NW31 275 E 5 1030 P 08/21-01 21 6 1 52 51 E 3 3 2 1 NW29 261 SE 3 811 P 08/21-02 21 6 1 51 54 SE 3 3 2 1 NW26 246 SE 2 593 P 08/21-03 21 6 1 51 54 SE 2 2 2 1 NW23 231 S 2 375 P 08/21-04 21 6 1 50 55 SE 2 2 2 1 NW22 220 CALM 279 P 08/21-05 21 6 1 49 56 CALM 1 2 1 NW21 209 CALM 184 P 08/21-06 10 4 1 48 57 CALM 1 2 1 NW20 198 CALM 89 P 08/21-07 10 4 1 48 57 CALM 1 2 1 NW17 298 CALM 252 P 08/21-08 10 4 1 48 58 CALM 1 2 1 NW16 399 CALM 415 P 08/21-09 10 4 1 51 53 S 2 2 2 1 NW15 499 CALM 577 P 08/21-10 10 4 1 57 42 S 3 3 3 1 NW13 3148 SW 3 20396 P 08/21-11 10 4 1 60 37 W 5 5 4 1 NW10 5797 W 6 40215 F 08/21-12 19 5 1 65 31 NW 6 6 4 1 NW 9 8446 NW 8 60034 G 08/21-13 19 5 1 70 26 NW 7 7 4 1 W 9 9192 NW 7 58803 F 08/21-14 19 5 1 71 24 NW 8 13 5 1 W 9 9937 W 7 57572 F 08/21-15 19 5 1 72 23 NW 8 13 5 1 SW 9 10682 W 6 56341 F 08/21-16 19 5 1 73 21 NW 7 7 5 1 SW 9 10530 W 6 50039 F 08/21-17 19 5 1 72 21 NW 6 6 5 1 SW10 10377 W 5 43736 F 08/21-18 23 5 1 71 21 NW 5 5 5 1 SW10 10225 W 5 37433 P 08/21-19 23 5 1 70 23 W 3 3 5 1 SW10 7190 SW 3 25994 P 08/21-20 23 5 1 65 26 W 3 3 5 1 SW12 4155 SW 3 14554 P 08/21-21 23 5 1 60 32 SW 3 3 5 1 SW13 1120 SW 3 3115 P 08/21-22 23 5 1 57 36 SW 3 3 5 1 SW15 833 SW 3 2369 P 08/21-23 23 5 1 55 39 S 3 3 4 1 SW20 546 SW 3 1623 P 08/22-00 40 6 1 53 42 S 3 3 4 1 W23 258 SW 3 877 P 08/22-01 40 6 1 52 44 S 3 3 4 1 W25 248 SW 5 908 P 08/22-02 40 6 1 51 46 S 3 3 4 1 W28 237 SW 5 940 P 08/22-03 40 6 1 50 48 S 3 3 4 1 W29 227 SW 5 972 P 08/22-04 40 6 1 49 51 S 3 3 4 1 W29 230 SW 6 1105 P 08/22-05 40 6 1 48 53 S 5 5 4 1 W28 234 SW 6 1239 P 08/22-06 61 20 4 47 56 S 5 5 4 3 SW26 238 SW 7 1372 P 08/22-07 61 20 4 47 59 SW 3 3 4 3 W28 499 W 6 2224 P 08/22-08 61 20 4 48 59 SW 3 3 4 3 W30 759 W 5 3077 P 08/22-09 61 20 4 52 52 SW 3 3 4 3 W31 1020 W 5 3929 P 08/22-10 61 20 4 57 45 SW 6 6 4 3 W31 2875 W 7 27659 P 08/22-11 61 20 4 60 43 W 8 13 4 3 W29 4731 W10 51389 F 08/22-12 71 27 7 64 39 W10 16 4 4 W26 6586 W13 75120 G 08/22-13 71 27 7 68 35 W10 17 4 4 W24 7380 W13 78011 G 08/22-14 71 27 7 68 35 W10 16 4 4 W21 8174 W12 80903 G 08/22-15 71 27 7 69 34 W 9 15 4 4 SW18 8967 W10 83795 G 08/22-16 71 27 7 69 34 W 9 14 4 4 SW15 8675 W 9 71890 G 08/22-17 71 27 7 69 34 W 8 14 3 4 SW12 8384 W 8 59984 F 08/22-18 70 22 4 68 35 W 8 13 3 3 SW10 8092 NW 7 48079 F 08/22-19 70 22 4 67 37 W 8 8 3 3 SW14 6045 W 5 32923 P 08/22-20 70 22 4 63 43 W 7 7 3 3 W20 3998 W 3 17767 P 08/22-21 70 22 4 57 52 W 6 6 3 3 W24 1951 CALM 2611 P 08/22-22 70 22 4 54 58 SW 6 6 3 3 W22 1407 W 3 2352 P 08/22-23 70 22 4 53 61 SW 5 5 3 3 W18 863 SW 5 2093 P 08/23-00 39 22 4 51 65 SW 5 5 3 3 W15 320 SW 7 1834 P 08/23-01 39 22 4 50 68 SW 5 5 3 3 NW13 313 SW 7 1857 P 08/23-02 39 22 4 49 72 SW 5 5 3 3 NW10 307 SW 7 1880 P 08/23-03 39 22 4 48 74 SW 5 5 3 3 NW 9 301 SW 7 1902 P 08/23-04 39 22 4 47 78 SW 5 5 3 3 NW 9 301 SW 8 1973 P 08/23-05 39 22 4 46 80 SW 5 5 3 3 NW 9 302 W 8 2043 P 08/23-06 34 10 2 45 82 SW 5 5 3 1 NW10 302 W 8 2113 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120820.ENCAM.01/BOU