FNUS74 KEPZ 201531
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TIERRA BLANCA...USFS GILA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
931 AM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0856 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO OUR WEST WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD
DURING THE FIRST PART OF THIS WEEK RESULTING IN A LITTLE LESS
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ISOLATED LOWLAND AND SCATTERED
MOUNTAIN STORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED DURING THE P.M. HOURS. A FEW
OF THE STORMS MAY STILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG
OUTFLOW WINDS AND HAIL. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH
THE REGION WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE ALOFT ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL INCREASE
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WITH A RETURN TO MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS. GOOD


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900-10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30-40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VRBL AROUND 5 MPH MORNING THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH AFTN.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 KNOTS. FAIR TO GOOD



$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120820.TIERR.01/EPZ