FNUS72 KMFL 202152
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRICKER...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
552 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1737 EDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT
5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER
THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR THE
AREA THIS EVENING, HOWEVER THEY WILL BE DIMINISHING AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE IN THE GENERALLY GOOD CATEGORY
EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE DISPERSION VALUES WILL BEGIN TO DROP INTO
THE POOR CATEGORY AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES DUE TO THE DIMINISHING WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........30     20     20     20     20     20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC
TEMP............82     78     76     75     75     75
RH..............74     85     90     94     94     94
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    SW 1   SW 0   SW 0   S 0
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100   3100   1600   200    200    200
MIXNG WIND......W 6    W 6    SW 3   S 2    S 2    S 2
DISPERSION IDX..3      3      2      1      1      1
LVORI...........5      5      7      7      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. HAZE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CARACOZZA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS RICHARDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120820.FRICK.01/MFL