FNUS72 KMFL 211008 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR FRICKER...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 608 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 EDT ON AUGUST 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A GUST FRONT MOVING NORTH FROM LATE EVENING THUNDERSTORMS YESTERDAY OVER CUBA MOVED OVER THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING. LIGHT SHOWERS WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS OCCURRED. AFTER SUNRISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT BUT BE FROM THE SOUTH SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. BY MID MORNING...THE WIND WILL SHIFT AS A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS MOVING OVER THE BURN AREA BY NOON. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 15 MPH. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE BURN EARLY THIS MORNING WHICH MAY SEND A GUST FRONT SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA, SOMETHING TO WATCH INITIALLY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SEA BREEZE AND MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BURN. WIND OUTFLOWS FROM THE ACTIVITY MAY MAKE THE WINDS BECOME VARIABLE IN DIRECTION BUT MOSTLY LIKELY FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST. WINDS MAY BE A PROBLEM TODAY AS DIRECTIONS COULD BECOME VARIABLE. WEATHER.............PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 95. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 51 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....26 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LVORI...............2. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........50 50 50 48 48 48 WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............76 88 92 94 92 89 RH..............97 63 56 53 54 59 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 4 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 5000 5000 5000 4500 MIXNG WIND......S 7 S 7 S 8 SW 12 SW 12 SW 8 DISPERSION IDX..26 26 45 49 49 45 LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 1 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............6. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 49 PERCENT. LAL.................1. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 34 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 21 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS REQUESTED BY...CHRIS RICHARDS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120820.FRICK.02/MFL