FNUS72 KMFL 201007 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR WILD EYED RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 607 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL GIVE AN EARLY MORNING LIGHT SOUTH WIND FLOW OVER THE AREA. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP WITH THE WIND BECOMING SOUTHWEST. A FEW STRAY SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING. BY THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDER -STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. BUT...I EXPECT THIS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE TO THE NORTHEAST TO EAST OF THE AREA. THUS, THE MAIN PROBLEM MAY BE WIND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD THE FIRE FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. SO, WATCH FOR WIND SHIFTS. DISPERSION WILL INCREASE TO THE HIGHER LEVELS OF THE GENERALLY GOOD CATEGORY DUE TO GOOD HEATING UNDER THE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 57. LVORI...............2. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........38 38 35 35 35 35 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD TEMP............83 91 93 92 91 88 RH..............77 58 54 56 58 63 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 6 S 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 5000 5000 5000 4500 4500 MIXNG WIND......S 6 S 12 S 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 14 DISPERSION IDX..21 47 47 58 56 56 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............2 2 2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 2 IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LVORI...............7. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 26 IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS REQUESTED BY...JEFF CUMMINGS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120820.WILDE.01/MFL