FNUS75 KTWC 201449
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL...SAN CARLOS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
727 AM MST MON AUG 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 711 MST ON AUGUST 20. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
LATE THIS MORNING AND DRIFT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE FIRE AREA
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORMS WILL NOT BE AS ORGANIZED/STRONG
AS THEY HAVE BEEN THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT WILL STILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 80 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 TO 48 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING...THEN 4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN 50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 TO 70 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................4 IN THE EVENING...THEN 2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......40 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 TO 80 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 TO 51 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2 IN THE MORNING...THEN 4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...THEN 50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...FIRE WEATHER FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...DENNIS LOGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120820.TRAIL.01/TWC