FNUS75 KBOU 211636 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ENCAMPMENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1033 AM MDT TUE AUG 21 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500 THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77. MIN HUMIDITY........21-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 4-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 10200-11200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46. MAX HUMIDITY........62-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ENCAMPMENT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/21-10 4 0 0 65 33 W 5 5 2 1 NW 9 5663 W 7 32070 P 08/21-11 4 4 1 68 29 W 5 5 2 1 W 9 7841 W 7 44995 F 08/21-12 19 4 1 70 27 NW 6 6 2 1 W 9 10019 W 7 57921 F 08/21-13 19 4 1 72 25 NW 7 7 2 1 W 9 10510 W 7 63519 G 08/21-14 19 4 1 73 24 NW 7 7 2 1 W10 11002 W 7 69117 G 08/21-15 19 10 2 74 23 NW 7 7 2 2 SW12 11493 W 8 74715 G 08/21-16 19 10 2 74 22 NW 7 7 2 2 SW12 11268 W 7 67299 G 08/21-17 19 10 2 73 21 NW 6 6 3 2 SW12 11043 W 6 59884 F 08/21-18 31 10 2 72 21 NW 5 5 3 2 SW12 10818 W 6 52468 F 08/21-19 31 10 2 69 23 NW 3 3 3 2 SW12 7335 W 5 35197 P 08/21-20 31 10 2 65 26 W 2 2 2 2 SW12 3852 W 3 17925 P 08/21-21 31 0 0 62 30 W 2 2 2 1 SW13 370 NW 2 653 P 08/21-22 31 0 0 60 32 W 2 2 2 1 SW15 328 W 2 758 P 08/21-23 31 0 0 57 36 SW 3 3 2 1 W17 286 W 3 862 P 08/22-00 29 0 0 54 41 S 3 3 2 1 W20 244 SW 5 967 P 08/22-01 29 0 0 51 46 S 3 3 2 1 W21 232 SW 6 1034 P 08/22-02 29 0 0 49 50 S 5 5 2 1 W22 220 SW 6 1102 P 08/22-03 35 0 0 48 52 S 5 5 2 1 W22 208 SW 7 1169 P 08/22-04 35 0 0 47 53 S 5 5 2 1 W21 210 SW 7 1285 P 08/22-05 35 0 0 47 55 S 5 5 2 1 W21 212 SW 8 1400 P 08/22-06 54 0 0 45 60 S 5 5 2 1 W20 213 SW 8 1516 P 08/22-07 54 0 0 45 62 SW 6 6 2 1 W20 278 SW 9 2211 P 08/22-08 54 0 0 46 62 SW 7 7 2 1 W20 342 SW 9 2906 P 08/22-09 54 0 0 51 54 SW 8 13 2 1 W20 407 SW10 3601 P 08/22-10 54 0 0 57 46 SW 9 14 4 1 W17 2433 W10 21037 P 08/22-11 54 0 0 59 44 W 9 15 4 1 W15 4460 W10 38474 P 08/22-12 73 16 3 63 39 W 9 15 4 3 W13 6486 W10 55910 F 08/22-13 73 16 3 66 36 W 9 15 4 3 W12 7410 W 9 62375 G 08/22-14 73 16 3 68 34 W 9 14 4 3 W12 8334 W 9 68840 G 08/22-15 73 28 8 70 33 NW 8 13 4 4 W12 9258 NW 9 75305 G 08/22-16 73 28 8 71 32 NW 7 7 4 4 W12 8923 NW 9 67750 G 08/22-17 73 28 8 70 32 W 7 7 4 4 NW12 8587 NW 8 60195 G 08/22-18 50 17 3 69 34 W 6 6 4 3 NW12 8252 NW 7 52640 F 08/22-19 50 17 3 68 35 W 5 5 4 3 NW10 5603 W 7 35570 P 08/22-20 50 17 3 64 41 W 3 3 4 3 NW 9 2955 W 6 18500 P 08/22-21 50 8 2 57 52 W 3 3 4 1 N 8 307 W 6 1430 P 08/22-22 50 8 2 54 59 W 5 5 4 1 N 6 294 W 7 1749 P 08/22-23 50 8 2 52 63 SW 6 6 4 1 NW 5 281 W 8 2067 P 08/23-00 34 0 0 51 66 SW 7 7 4 1 NW 3 268 W10 2386 P 08/23-01 34 0 0 50 69 SW 7 7 4 1 W 3 263 W 9 2224 P 08/23-02 34 0 0 49 72 SW 7 7 4 1 SW 5 257 W 9 2062 P 08/23-03 34 0 0 48 74 SW 6 6 4 1 S 5 252 W 9 1900 P 08/23-04 34 0 0 47 77 SW 6 6 4 1 SW 6 249 W 7 1618 P 08/23-05 34 0 0 46 78 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 7 247 W 6 1336 P 08/23-06 32 7 1 45 80 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 7 244 W 5 1054 P 08/23-07 32 7 1 45 80 SW 3 3 4 1 SW 7 304 W 5 1005 P 08/23-08 32 7 1 46 78 W 2 2 4 1 S 6 365 W 3 956 P 08/23-09 32 7 1 51 64 W 2 2 4 1 S 6 425 NW 2 907 P 08/23-10 32 7 1 56 51 NW 2 2 4 1 S 6 1936 NW 3 7949 P 08/23-11 32 7 1 59 45 N 3 3 4 1 S 6 3448 NE 5 14991 P 08/23-12 62 21 4 62 38 NE 3 3 4 3 SE 6 4960 NE 5 22033 P 08/23-13 62 21 4 65 33 NE 3 3 4 3 SE 6 6182 E 6 33155 P 08/23-14 62 21 4 67 31 E 5 5 4 3 SE 7 7405 E 7 44277 F 08/23-15 62 21 4 68 29 E 5 5 4 3 SE 7 8627 E 7 55400 F 08/23-16 62 21 4 69 28 E 5 5 4 3 SE 8 8344 E 7 54073 F 08/23-17 62 21 4 69 29 SE 3 3 4 3 S 8 8061 SE 8 52745 F 08/23-18 64 23 5 68 31 SE 3 3 4 3 S 8 7779 SE 8 51418 F 08/23-19 64 23 5 67 32 SE 5 5 4 3 S 7 5518 SE 9 38147 P 08/23-20 64 23 5 63 37 S 6 6 3 3 SE 6 3257 S12 24875 P 08/23-21 64 10 2 57 47 S 7 7 3 2 SE 6 996 S14 11604 P 08/23-22 64 10 2 54 52 S 7 7 3 2 SE 7 794 S13 9105 P 08/23-23 64 10 2 52 56 SW 7 7 3 2 SE 9 591 SW13 6606 P 08/24-00 58 8 2 51 58 SW 7 7 3 1 SE10 389 SW13 4107 P 08/24-01 58 8 2 50 60 SW 6 6 3 1 SE 9 355 SW10 3441 P 08/24-02 58 8 2 49 63 S 6 6 3 1 SE 9 321 SW 9 2774 P 08/24-03 58 8 2 48 66 S 5 5 3 1 S10 287 SW 8 2108 P 08/24-04 58 8 2 47 70 S 5 5 3 1 S14 276 SW 7 1699 P 08/24-05 58 8 2 47 73 S 3 3 2 1 S20 265 SW 6 1290 P 08/24-06 54 26 6 46 78 S 3 3 2 1 S26 255 SW 3 881 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...IC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120821.ENCAM.01/BOU