FNUS75 KMSO 211150
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
550 AM MDT TUE AUG 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0537 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO IMPACT THE FIRE AND LAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING PACIFIC
WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ALLOW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LINGER INTO THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THERE IS HIGH
POTENTIAL THE FIRE WILL SEE WETTING RAINS FROM THIS SYSTEM. WITH
PRECIPITATION CONTINUING IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS RECOVERIES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE GOOD. WEDNESDAY WILL SEE SHOWERS EXIT EAST OF THE
DIVIDE BY MID MORNING LEAVING A COOLER AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE.
BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT REMAINS SOMEWHAT TIGHT BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THIS MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 BOTTOM...78-83 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    8-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH TOWARD
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 BOTTOM...68-73 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120821.CONDO.01/MSO