FNUS75 KTFX 211954
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
154 PM MDT TUE AUG 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1313 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH A FEW SHOWERS LINGERING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE BETWEEN 1600 AND 2000 HRS
AND SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THIS
EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT WITH WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTHWEST TO WEST. BREEZY WEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING TO
NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES AND CLEARING SKIES BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1600.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 VALLEYS...72-77 RIDGETOPS.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT VALLEYS...25-30 PERCENT RIDGETOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 VALLEYS...48-53 RIDGETOPS.
MAX HUMIDITY........GREATER THAN 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 VALLEYS...65-70 RIDGETOPS.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT VALLEYS...30-35 PERCENT RIDGETOPS.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS AROUND 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOENISCH
REQUESTED BY...KIP COLBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120821.ELBOW.02/TFX