FNUS75 KBOU 221356 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HAATS TRAINING...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 750 AM MDT WED AUG 22 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRAVERSES THE STATE. THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE COOLER ON THURSDAY WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 1100-1300...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75. MIN HUMIDITY........28-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500... THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48. MAX HUMIDITY........79-83%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-70. MIN HUMIDITY........33-37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7800-8800 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HAATSTRAINING. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/22-07 68 0 0 49 59 W 9 16 2 1 W17 1769 W13 26595 P 08/22-08 68 0 0 54 54 W10 16 2 1 W16 3380 W15 51886 F 08/22-09 68 0 0 61 45 W10 16 2 1 NW14 4991 W17 77178 G 08/22-10 68 0 0 66 38 W12 17 2 1 NW13 6394 W16 85595 G 08/22-11 68 0 0 69 35 W12 18 2 1 NW10 7797 NW15 94011 G 08/22-12 77 30 9 71 33 W12 18 2 4 N 8 9200 NW13 102428 V 08/22-13 77 30 9 72 32 W10 17 2 4 NW 6 9340 NW10 83479 G 08/22-14 77 30 9 72 33 W 9 15 2 4 W 2 9479 NW 8 64530 G 08/22-15 77 30 9 73 33 W 8 13 2 4 CALM 9619 NW 6 45581 F 08/22-16 77 30 9 72 35 W 7 7 2 4 CALM 9245 NW 5 37414 P 08/22-17 77 30 9 71 37 W 7 7 2 4 SE 3 8872 NW 3 29247 P 08/22-18 82 26 6 71 38 W 7 7 2 4 SE 6 8498 NW 2 21079 P 08/22-19 82 26 6 68 42 W 7 7 2 4 SE 6 7512 N 3 20976 P 08/22-20 82 26 6 65 46 W 7 7 2 4 E 7 6527 N 3 20874 P 08/22-21 82 26 6 62 51 W 8 13 2 4 E 7 5541 N 5 20771 P 08/22-22 82 26 6 60 55 W 9 14 2 4 E 7 4362 NW 5 17690 P 08/22-23 82 26 6 58 60 W10 16 2 4 E 7 3184 W 6 14610 P 08/23-00 79 0 0 56 67 W10 16 2 1 E 8 2006 W 7 11530 P 08/23-01 79 0 0 53 74 W10 16 2 1 E 8 1462 W 6 8285 P 08/23-02 79 0 0 51 78 W 9 15 2 1 SE 9 919 W 6 5040 P 08/23-03 79 0 0 50 79 W 8 13 2 1 SE10 376 W 6 1796 P 08/23-04 79 0 0 50 78 W 7 7 2 1 SE13 386 W 5 1601 P 08/23-05 79 0 0 49 77 W 7 7 2 1 SE15 395 W 5 1407 P 08/23-06 58 5 1 48 79 W 6 6 2 1 SE16 405 W 3 1212 P 08/23-07 58 5 1 49 76 W 5 5 2 1 SE16 2246 NW 5 13551 P 08/23-08 58 5 1 54 65 NW 3 3 2 1 SE15 4087 NE 6 25889 P 08/23-09 58 10 2 60 53 NW 2 2 2 2 SE14 5928 E 7 38227 P 08/23-10 58 10 2 65 43 N 2 2 2 2 SE13 6925 E 8 48037 F 08/23-11 58 10 2 67 39 NE 3 3 3 2 S13 7922 E 8 57847 F 08/23-12 72 28 8 69 35 E 3 3 3 4 S12 8918 E 9 67657 G 08/23-13 72 28 8 70 35 E 3 3 3 4 S12 8903 E 8 66178 G 08/23-14 72 28 8 70 35 E 3 3 3 4 S12 8887 SE 8 64699 G 08/23-15 72 34 13 70 36 E 3 3 3 4 S12 8872 SE 8 63219 G 08/23-16 72 34 13 69 37 E 3 3 3 4 SW12 8288 SE 7 53145 F 08/23-17 72 34 13 68 39 E 5 5 3 4 W10 7705 SE 6 43070 F 08/23-18 74 31 10 67 41 SE 5 5 3 4 W 9 7121 SE 6 32996 P 08/23-19 74 31 10 64 44 SE 3 3 3 4 NW 8 6364 SE 5 25954 P 08/23-20 74 31 10 60 52 S 3 3 3 4 NW 8 5606 S 3 18913 P 08/23-21 74 10 2 56 58 S 2 2 3 2 N 8 4849 S 2 11872 P 08/23-22 74 10 2 54 62 S 2 2 3 2 N 8 3354 S 3 8308 P 08/23-23 74 10 2 52 65 SW 3 3 3 2 NE 8 1859 SW 3 4745 P 08/24-00 61 7 1 51 67 SW 3 3 3 1 NE 9 363 SW 3 1182 P 08/24-01 61 7 1 50 70 SW 3 3 3 1 NE 8 343 SW 5 1219 P 08/24-02 61 7 1 49 71 W 5 5 3 1 E 8 322 W 5 1256 P 08/24-03 61 7 1 48 73 W 5 5 3 1 E 8 301 W 5 1294 P 08/24-04 61 7 1 48 73 W 5 5 3 1 E 7 305 W 5 1372 P 08/24-05 61 7 1 48 74 W 6 6 3 1 E 6 308 W 6 1450 P 08/24-06 74 23 5 48 77 W 6 6 3 1 E 6 312 W 6 1529 P 08/24-07 74 23 5 49 76 W 6 6 3 1 E 5 2044 NW 6 10142 P 08/24-08 74 23 5 53 66 W 6 6 3 1 NE 3 3776 NW 6 18755 P 08/24-09 74 23 5 59 53 W 6 6 3 3 NE 3 5508 N 6 27368 P 08/24-10 74 23 5 64 45 NW 5 5 3 3 NE 5 6452 N 7 40933 F 08/24-11 74 23 5 67 41 N 5 5 3 3 NE 6 7395 N 8 54497 F 08/24-12 76 28 8 69 38 NE 3 3 3 4 NE 8 8339 N 9 68062 G 08/24-13 76 28 8 69 38 N 2 2 3 4 NE10 8447 N 9 68265 G 08/24-14 76 28 8 70 38 CALM 1 4 4 N13 8556 N 9 68469 G 08/24-15 76 28 8 70 39 CALM 1 4 4 N14 8664 N 9 68672 G 08/24-16 76 28 8 69 41 CALM 1 4 4 N14 7897 N 8 55526 F 08/24-17 76 28 8 67 44 CALM 1 3 4 N14 7131 N 7 42379 F 08/24-18 70 31 10 66 47 NW 2 2 3 4 N14 6364 N 6 29233 P 08/24-19 70 31 10 64 50 NW 3 3 3 4 N14 5797 N 8 35538 P 08/24-20 70 31 10 59 59 W 5 5 3 4 N14 5230 N 9 41842 F 08/24-21 70 31 10 56 64 W 6 6 3 4 N14 4663 N12 48147 F 08/24-22 70 31 10 53 69 W 6 6 3 4 N13 3183 N10 32571 P 08/24-23 70 31 10 51 71 W 7 7 3 4 N12 1703 NW 9 16995 P 08/25-00 43 16 3 50 72 W 7 7 3 3 N 9 224 W 7 1420 P 08/25-01 43 16 3 49 74 W 7 7 3 3 N 8 211 W 8 1378 P 08/25-02 43 16 3 48 75 W 8 13 3 3 NW 6 198 NW 8 1337 P 08/25-03 43 16 3 48 75 W 8 13 3 3 NW 5 186 NW 8 1296 P 08/25-04 43 16 3 48 74 W 8 13 3 3 NW 5 183 NW 8 1206 P 08/25-05 43 16 3 47 73 W 8 8 3 3 NW 6 180 W 7 1116 P 08/25-06 28 7 1 47 73 W 7 7 3 1 NW 7 177 W 7 1026 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120822.HAATS.01/BOU