FNUS75 KGJT 221143
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
543 AM MDT WED AUG 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0526 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN
SITE TODAY AS MONSOONAL FLOW CONTINUES STREAMING OVER THE AREA.
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH NOON WITH THUNDERSTORMS FORMING
AFTER 1 PM. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED AS CLOUDS
REMAIN OVERHEAD MOST OF THE DAY. MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TOMORROW AS MOISTURE REMAINS AND AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE AREA CAUSING MORE SHOWERS AND
STRONGER STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5 TO 8 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 15MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 850.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......100 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 750.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120822.BURNS.01/GJT