FNUS75 KMSO 221204
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
604 AM MDT WED AUG 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0544 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME EARLY MORNING CLOUDS WILL BE OVER THE FIRE AS
THE LAST OF THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITS EAST OF
THE DIVIDE. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY AS A WEAK
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD. COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE EXITING TROUGH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING
THEN INCREASE FROM THE WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
EVENING. GUSTS TO 18 MPH AT THE TOP OF THE FIRE SHOULD BE
EXPECTED. INVERSIONS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT FOR COOL VALLEY
TEMPERATURES AND THERMAL BELTS FOR MILD TEMPERATURES AT MIDSLOPES.
THURSDAY WILL SEE SLIGHT WARMING WITH MORE AFTERNOON/EVENING
WINDS.

ANOTHER WIND EVENT EXPECTED FRIDAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT PASSES OVER
THE FIRE. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 0800 AM. OTHERWISE SUNNY.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 BOTTOM...68-73 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT BOTTOM...35-40 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 8-12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH AFTER 1500 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 BOTTOM...39-44 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT BOTTOM...68-73 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5
                    MPH AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 BOTTOM...71-76 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120822.CONDO.01/MSO