FNUS75 KBOU 232054 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 84...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 250 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A RATHER DISORGANIZED UPPER TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN UTAH AND NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A MOIST AND RELATIVELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP LATE FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BE WEAK THROUGH FRIDAY SO A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-6600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........94%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0900...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 6600-7600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CR 84. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/23-14 91 50 26 64 53 W 6 6 2 4 W13 6327 W 6 32269 P 08/23-15 91 50 26 65 52 W 5 5 2 4 W13 6566 W 6 35753 P 08/23-16 91 50 26 65 52 NW 3 3 2 4 W13 6384 W 5 28957 P 08/23-17 91 50 26 65 53 NW 2 2 2 4 W13 6203 W 5 22162 P 08/23-18 91 50 26 64 54 CALM 1 3 4 W12 6021 W 3 15367 P 08/23-19 91 50 26 61 61 NW 2 2 3 4 W 9 4454 W 3 11755 P 08/23-20 90 50 26 57 70 W 5 5 3 2 W 8 2887 SW 3 8142 P 08/23-21 90 50 26 54 78 SW 6 6 3 2 NW 7 1320 SW 3 4529 P 08/23-22 90 50 26 52 81 SW 5 5 3 2 NW 6 1029 W 3 3356 P 08/23-23 90 50 26 51 84 SW 3 3 2 2 NE 5 739 W 3 2182 P 08/24-00 77 40 18 49 87 SW 2 2 2 2 NE 5 449 W 2 1008 P 08/24-01 77 40 18 48 89 SW 3 3 2 2 E 6 433 W 3 1422 P 08/24-02 77 40 18 47 91 SW 5 5 2 2 E 7 418 W 5 1836 P 08/24-03 77 40 18 46 94 SW 6 6 2 2 E 9 402 W 7 2249 P 08/24-04 77 40 18 45 94 SW 6 6 2 2 E 9 393 W 7 2247 P 08/24-05 77 40 18 45 92 W 5 5 2 2 E 9 385 W 7 2244 P 08/24-06 73 20 4 44 94 W 5 5 2 1 E 9 376 W 7 2241 P 08/24-07 73 20 4 44 94 W 5 5 2 1 E 9 737 W 7 4516 P 08/24-08 73 20 4 46 92 W 6 6 2 1 E 8 1098 W 7 6791 P 08/24-09 73 37 15 49 83 W 6 6 3 2 E 8 1459 NW 7 9067 P 08/24-10 73 37 15 54 68 W 6 6 3 2 NE 6 2946 NW 8 25293 P 08/24-11 73 37 15 58 58 W 6 6 3 2 NE 5 4433 N10 41519 F 08/24-12 76 40 18 61 50 W 6 6 3 4 NE 6 5921 N12 57745 F 08/24-13 76 40 18 63 47 W 7 7 3 4 NE 9 6541 N12 66176 G 08/24-14 76 40 18 65 45 W 7 7 3 4 N14 7161 N12 74606 G 08/24-15 76 40 18 66 43 W 8 13 3 4 N18 7781 N13 83037 G 08/24-16 76 40 18 67 42 W 8 14 3 4 N22 7508 N13 82137 G 08/24-17 76 40 18 66 43 W 8 14 2 4 N23 7234 N13 81236 G 08/24-18 68 24 5 64 45 W 8 13 2 3 N24 6232 NW13 67034 G 08/24-19 68 24 5 62 49 W 6 6 2 3 N24 4303 NW10 45586 F 08/24-20 68 24 5 59 55 W 5 5 2 3 N23 2375 NW 9 24139 P 08/24-21 68 24 5 56 60 W 3 3 2 3 N22 446 W 7 2691 P 08/24-22 68 24 5 54 62 W 3 3 2 3 N21 390 W 7 2449 P 08/24-23 68 24 5 52 65 W 3 3 2 3 N17 335 W 8 2208 P 08/25-00 42 9 2 50 69 W 5 5 2 1 N15 280 W 8 1966 P 08/25-01 42 9 2 47 74 W 5 5 2 1 N12 261 W 8 1794 P 08/25-02 42 9 2 46 77 W 5 5 2 1 N 8 243 W 8 1622 P 08/25-03 42 9 2 45 78 W 5 5 2 1 N 6 224 W 7 1449 P 08/25-04 42 9 2 45 77 W 5 5 2 1 NW 5 223 W 7 1308 P 08/25-05 42 9 2 44 75 W 3 3 2 1 W 6 221 W 6 1166 P 08/25-06 26 2 0 44 73 W 3 3 2 1 W 7 220 W 6 1024 P 08/25-07 26 2 0 45 70 SW 3 3 2 1 W 9 974 W 6 6431 P 08/25-08 26 2 0 50 59 SW 3 3 2 1 W13 1728 W 7 11838 P 08/25-09 26 2 0 55 50 SW 3 3 2 1 SW15 2483 W 8 17246 P 08/25-10 26 2 0 59 41 SW 3 3 2 1 W18 4630 W12 56211 F 08/25-11 26 2 0 61 36 W 3 3 2 1 W22 6778 W14 95176 G 08/25-12 35 8 2 64 32 W 3 3 2 1 W23 8925 W17 134141 V 08/25-13 35 8 2 65 29 W 5 5 2 1 W23 9380 W17 142056 V 08/25-14 35 8 2 66 28 W 7 7 2 1 W22 9834 W17 149971 V 08/25-15 35 8 2 67 26 W 8 13 2 1 W21 10289 W17 157886 E 08/25-16 35 8 2 67 26 W 7 7 2 1 W21 10061 W17 146817 V 08/25-17 35 8 2 66 26 NW 6 6 3 1 NW21 9833 NW16 135749 V 08/25-18 42 10 2 65 26 NW 3 3 3 2 NW21 9605 NW15 124680 V 08/25-19 42 10 2 62 31 NW 2 2 3 2 NW20 6625 W10 83634 G 08/25-20 42 10 2 59 36 CALM 1 3 2 W17 3644 SW 7 42588 F 08/25-21 42 10 2 56 42 CALM 0 3 2 W16 664 SW 2 1541 P 08/25-22 42 10 2 54 47 CALM 0 3 2 W16 527 SW 2 1145 P 08/25-23 42 10 2 52 52 CALM 0 3 2 W18 391 S 2 750 P 08/26-00 31 4 1 49 58 CALM 0 3 1 W20 255 CALM 354 P 08/26-01 31 4 1 47 64 CALM 0 3 1 W21 236 CALM 313 P 08/26-02 31 4 1 45 68 CALM 0 2 1 W21 217 CALM 272 P 08/26-03 31 4 1 44 69 CALM 0 2 1 W22 199 CALM 232 P 08/26-04 31 4 1 43 68 CALM 0 2 1 W23 197 CALM 213 P 08/26-05 31 4 1 43 67 CALM 0 2 1 W23 194 CALM 195 P 08/26-06 30 8 2 43 64 CALM 0 2 1 W24 192 CALM 176 P 08/26-07 30 8 2 44 60 CALM 0 2 1 W25 511 W 2 1356 P 08/26-08 30 8 2 50 48 CALM 1 2 1 W25 829 W 2 2536 P 08/26-09 30 8 2 55 39 CALM 1 2 1 W24 1148 W 3 3716 P 08/26-10 30 8 2 60 32 CALM 1 2 1 W24 4178 W 7 36878 P 08/26-11 30 8 2 64 29 W 2 2 2 1 W22 7208 W 9 70040 G 08/26-12 54 10 2 66 26 W 2 2 2 2 W21 10238 W12 103203 V 08/26-13 54 10 2 68 24 W 2 2 2 2 W20 10740 W10 97909 G 08/26-14 54 10 2 69 23 W 3 3 3 2 W17 11242 W 9 92615 G 08/26-15 54 10 2 70 22 W 3 3 3 2 W16 11745 W 8 87321 G 08/26-16 54 10 2 70 23 W 2 2 3 2 W15 11287 W 7 72193 G 08/26-17 54 10 2 70 24 W 2 2 2 2 NW15 10829 W 6 57064 F 08/26-18 59 10 2 69 25 CALM 1 2 2 NW15 10371 W 5 41936 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SGT NEAL MCQUARIE REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120823.CR84_.01/BOU