FNUS73 KFGF 231343
FWSFGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALSAM LAKE SEDGE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
843 AM CDT THU AUG 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING...THEN
PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE BY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK UP INTO THE 80S BY THIS
AFTERNOON...ALLOWING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP INTO THE 40
TO 50 PERCENT RANGE. SMOKE DISPERSAL VALUES WILL IMPROVE FROM FAIR
TO GOOD BY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SOME SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........50  50  51  52  54  55  57
WEATHER COV.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............79  81  83  83  84  84  83
RH..............56  53  49  48  48  48  51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH UP
                    TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........58     52     47     43     39     37
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............82     76     71     68     66     63
RH..............53     62     73     81     84     93
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 3   SW 2   S 4    S 5    SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             5             5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700-7800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........36        36        38        39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63        79        85        87
RH..............93        56        46        40
20 FT WIND......S 2       W 1       S 4G5     S 7G10

$$
FORECASTER...JR
REQUESTED BY...CORY HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120823.BALSA.01/FGF