FNUS75 KGJT 231215
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNS...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
615 AM MDT THU AUG 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS COLORADO TODAY AND
AS IT DOES...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER
THE BURN SITE. PLENTY OF CLOUDS WILL INHIBIT SOME CONVECTION BUT
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO CAUSE SOME
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
SLOW MOVING ALLOWING PLENTY OF RAIN TO FALL OVER AND NEAR THE
BURN SITE. BECAUSE OF THIS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FLASH FLOODING UNDER THE STRONGER
SHOWERS AND STORMS. RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW MORE SHOWERS AND
STORMS TO FORM AGAIN TOMORROW BUT THEY SHOULD BE LESS POWERFUL
THAN THOSE SEEN TODAY.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 950.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR DECREASING TO POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......950 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 500.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120823.BURNS.01/GJT