FNUS76 KMFR 240238
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOFF...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
738 PM PDT THU AUG 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1906 PDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A THERMAL TROUGH SETS UP OFFSHORE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING RESULTING IN NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE RIDE TOPS. MEANWHILE
A TEMPERATURE INVERSION IS LIKELY IN THE VALLEY LOCATIONS WITH HIGHER
RECOVERIES EXPECTED. THE INVERSION SHOULD WEAKEN BY MID MORNING AND
GO AWAY BETWEEN 10-11 AM PDT. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL
ON AVERAGE A FEW DEGREES HIGHER COMPARED TO THURSDAY. THE THERMAL
TROUGH WEAKENS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY SO OFFSHORE FLOW SHOULD BE
ABSENT. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE COOLER IN THE VALLEY LOCATIONS
AND MILDER OVER THE RIDGES. ANOTHER INVERSION IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT
FRIDAY THROUGH MID MORNING SATURDAY. THE INVERSION SHOULD BREAK UP BY
LATE MORNING SATURDAY. NO STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.


AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL SET UP WEST OF THE BURN AREA SUNDAY AND
COULD BRING MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS....ESPECIALLY OVER THE RIDGE TOPS
STARTING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING INTO SUNDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY WILL BE COOLER DUE TO INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW. A COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA MONDAY KEEPING TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL...BUT GUSTY WINDS WILL STILL BE A CONCERN. DRY AND COOL WEATHER
CONTINUES TUESDAY.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75 NEAR 6000 FT. 85-88 NEAR 1500 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH...THEN NORTH 2-5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON NEAR 6000 FT. DOWNVALLEY 0-2 MPH NEAR
                    1500 FT IN THE MORNING THEN NORTHWEST 1-2 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN NORTHWEST
                    5-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR 6000 FT. DOWN SLOPE
                    1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR 1500 FT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56 NEAR 6000 FT. 46-49 NEAR 1500 FT.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT NEAR 6000 FT. 75-79
                    PERCENT NEAR 1500 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0-2 MPH NEAR 6000 FT. DOWN VALLEY
                    0-2 MPH NEAR 1500 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 23 MPH NEAR 6000 FT. DOWN VALLEY
                    1-3 MPH NEAR 1500 FT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76 NEAR 6000 FT. 87-90 NEAR 1500 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT NEAR 6000FT. 20 PERCENT NEAR 1500 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH NEAR 6000 FT. DOWN VALLEY
                    1-3 MPH NEAR 1500 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-7 MPH NEAR 6000 FT. DOWN VALLEY 2-4 MPH
                    NEAR 1500 FT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...MIKE POWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120823.GOFF_.01/MFR