FNUS75 KMSO 240004
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
604 PM MDT THU AUG 23 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1728 MDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...
...CONTINUED WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE THE STORY FOR THE REST OF
TODAY/TONIGHT, WITH EVEN STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT AND A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS BEHIND WILL BEGIN
TO IMPACT THE FIRE BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE FIRE ROUGHLY BETWEEN 0400 AND 0600, CAUSING A FIRST
INITIAL PUNCH OF WINDS OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. AFTER THE FRONT
PASSES, WEST WINDS WILL STAY STEADY THROUGH THE MORNING, ONLY TO
INCREASE ONCE MORE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST POST-
FRONTAL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1200 AND 1600, BEFORE
WINDS SHIFT TO OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH. BY
SUNSET, WINDS SHOULD BE BACK TO MORE MANAGEABLE SPEEDS BEFORE DYING
OFF COMPLETELY OVERNIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED THAT FROST IS A POSSIBILITY SATURDAY MORNING AS WELL.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, BUT BECOMING CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...35-40.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...78-84 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...41-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 9-13 MPH, WITH SOME GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    (AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS), BUT AT THE UPPER
                    MOST ELEVATIONS, EXPECT GUSTS TO 25 MPH FOR
                    THE REMAINDER OF THIS EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...62-68.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...26-31 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...53-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 14-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...33-38.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...29-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...96-100 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...76-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 10-15 WITH GUSTS 25-30 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING...BECOMING VARIABLE 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........1 VERY LOW.


$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...VICKI STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120823.CONDO.02/MSO