FNUS73 KPAH 231725 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMASVILLE FIRE...MDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1225 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1202 CDT ON AUGUST 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE LIGHT WINDS...THOUGH A PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 9 MPH IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINED FAIRLY LOW LAST NIGHT...AND FUEL MOISTURES REMAINED LOW...ALLOWING FOR THIS MORNING FIRE START. MIXING DEPTHS ARE VERY DEEP...WHICH WILL ALLOW SMOKE TO RISE EFFICIENTLY. HOWEVER...A STRONG BUT SHALLOW INVERSION OVERNIGHT WILL RENDER THE OPPOSITE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........92 AT REQUEST...MAX 95. RH..................28 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 9600-10200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............90 92 93 94 94 93 91 RH..............28 24 22 18 20 24 27 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 4 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...8.4 9.6 10 10 9.9 9.4 8.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 13 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............89 77 71 68 66 64 RH..............29 43 55 63 70 78 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 2 S 1 SW 1 SW 1 SW 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....7800 5300 2500 300 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 17 S 20 S 18 S 13 S 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 6 5 5 5 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 91. RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 79 88 90 RH..............78 44 31 28 20 FT WIND......SW 0 SW 5 S 5G10 S 6G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 4000 7500 7700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 8 S 18 S 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...GARY GOGNAT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120823.THOMA.01/PAH