FNUS76 KMFR 250313 FWSMFR SPOT FORECAST FOR GOFF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 813 PM PDT FRI AUG 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1914 PDT ON AUGUST 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS ESPECIALLY ABOVE 4000 FEET. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE AREA GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST LATE SATURDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OFFSHORE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWEST OVER THE BURN AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING SHOULD INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON TO AROUND 6500 FT ABOVE THE LOWER VALLEY LEVEL AND MIXING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE COMPARED TO FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW SOME SMOKE DISPERSION. AN INVERSION WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT. WINDS AT THE RIDGES WILL PERSIST OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHTS WINDS DEVELOPING BELOW AROUND 4000 FT ELEVATION. AS THE LOW PRESSURE BRINGS A FRONT TOWARDS THE COAST ON SUNDAY...EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW, ESPECIALLY ON RIDGES, WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE AREA. OUTLOOK...BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH GOOD MIXING IN THE AFTERNOONS AS A FRONT GRADUALLY MOVES INTO THE COAST FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE. THIS WILL IMPROVE SMOKE DISPERSION OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOLER SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THEN THE LOW MOVES INLAND TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING SEVERAL DEGREES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-90 VALLEYS AND 77-83 RIDGES. MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT VALLEYS...20-25 PERCENT RIDGES. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGES...SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-6500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.... WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGES...SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WINDS OVER THE RIDGES WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...ALSO GUSTS TO 15 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE RIDGES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52 VALLEYS AND RIDGES. MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT EXCEPT 50-60 PERCENT AT THE TOP OF THE BURN. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS...UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0 TO 2 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. RIDGES... WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AROUND SUNSET. MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH. MIXING WINDS BELOW 4000 FT ELEVATION MAY BE LIGHT DURING THE NIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS...UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 1 TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. RIDGES... WEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 VALLEYS AND 70-75 RIDGES. MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT VALLEYS...25-30 PERCENT RIDGES. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGES...SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WINDS OVER THE RIDGES WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...ALSO GUSTS TO 10 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE RIDGES. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500-6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS...LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS 1 TO 4 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGES...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WINDS OVER THE RIDGES WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...ALSO GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE RIDGES. $$ FORECASTER...CLARSTROM REQUESTED BY...MIKE POWELL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120824.GOFF_.02/MFR