FNUS75 KMSO 241228
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY CREEK 1 FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
628 AM MDT FRI AUG 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0608 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VIGOROUS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BE IMPACTING THE FIRE
AREA TODAY BRINGING STRONG WEST WINDS...BUT VERY LIMITED MOISTURE
TO THE AREA. THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST ASPECT AND LOCATION OF THE FIRE
IN FULL SHELTERING WILL REDUCE WINDS...BUT OCCASIONAL STRONG GUSTS
REMAIN A REAL POSSIBILITY. DRY AIR AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL SHOW SIGNS OF CLOUD DEVELOPMENT...MAINLY OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE EAST. THE FIRE SITE WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES AS TEMPERATURES SHOW A COOLING TREND
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE DECREASING AGAIN THIS EVENING.

SATURDAY...WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY UNDER A RIDGING PATTERN. WINDS
WILL RETURN TO GENERAL UPSLOPE WINDS AND NOT VERY STRONG.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH EARLY...INCREASING TO
                    10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
  RIDGETOP WINDS....WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER DARK.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MSJ
REQUESTED BY...JACK CURRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120824.VALLE.01/MSO