FNUS75 KBOU 280227 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROACH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 825 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED EXCEPT FOR A FEW LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE FIRE AREA UNTIL MIDNIGHT. SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDASY WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS BUT ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........64%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROACH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/27-20 64 10 2 68 32 SW 8 14 3 2 SW 6 4036 SW10 32210 P 08/27-21 60 10 2 62 40 SW 8 13 3 2 SW 5 404 SW10 3676 P 08/27-22 60 10 2 58 46 SW 7 7 3 2 SW 6 336 SW 9 2915 P 08/27-23 60 10 2 57 50 SW 7 7 3 2 W 8 268 SW 9 2154 P 08/28-00 38 4 1 55 54 SW 6 6 3 1 W10 200 SW 8 1393 P 08/28-01 38 4 1 53 59 SW 6 6 3 1 W13 184 SW 8 1269 P 08/28-02 38 4 1 51 62 SW 6 6 3 1 W14 168 SW 8 1144 P 08/28-03 38 4 1 49 64 SW 6 6 3 1 W16 151 SW 8 1020 P 08/28-04 38 4 1 49 64 SW 6 6 3 1 W16 147 SW 7 958 P 08/28-05 38 4 1 49 62 SW 6 6 3 1 W15 143 SW 7 895 P 08/28-06 44 4 1 48 61 SW 6 6 3 1 W15 139 SW 7 833 P 08/28-07 44 4 1 48 60 SW 6 6 3 1 W14 264 SW 8 1894 P 08/28-08 44 4 1 52 52 SW 7 7 3 1 W13 389 SW 8 2956 P 08/28-09 44 4 1 59 41 SW 7 7 3 1 W13 514 SW 9 4017 P 08/28-10 44 15 3 63 36 SW 7 7 3 3 W13 3382 W10 39398 P 08/28-11 44 15 3 67 32 W 8 8 3 3 W13 6250 W13 74780 G 08/28-12 56 24 5 70 29 W 8 13 3 3 W13 9117 W14 110161 V 08/28-13 56 24 5 72 27 W 9 14 3 3 W12 9694 W13 104923 V 08/28-14 56 24 5 74 25 W 9 15 3 3 W12 10271 W12 99685 G 08/28-15 61 24 5 74 25 W 9 15 3 3 W12 10848 W10 94447 G 08/28-16 61 24 5 75 24 W 8 13 3 3 W10 10441 W 9 82271 G 08/28-17 61 24 5 75 24 W 6 6 3 3 W 9 10035 W 8 70095 G 08/28-18 52 23 5 73 27 W 5 5 3 3 SW 9 9628 W 7 57920 F 08/28-19 52 23 5 69 31 W 5 5 3 3 SW 8 6510 SW 7 39115 P 08/28-20 52 23 5 65 36 SW 5 5 3 3 SW 8 3393 SW 7 20311 P 08/28-21 52 23 5 62 41 SW 5 5 3 3 SW 8 275 SW 6 1507 P 08/28-22 52 5 1 60 44 SW 6 6 3 1 SW 9 237 SW 7 1345 P 08/28-23 52 5 1 58 48 SW 6 6 3 1 SW10 199 SW 7 1183 P 08/29-00 34 5 1 55 54 SW 7 7 3 1 SW12 162 SW 7 1022 P 08/29-01 34 5 1 52 60 SW 7 7 3 1 SW12 152 SW 7 959 P 08/29-02 34 5 1 50 64 SW 7 7 3 1 SW13 142 SW 7 895 P 08/29-03 34 5 1 49 66 SW 7 7 3 1 SW14 132 SW 7 832 P 08/29-04 34 5 1 48 67 SW 7 7 3 1 SW15 131 SW 7 844 P 08/29-05 34 5 1 48 68 SW 7 7 3 1 SW16 130 SW 8 855 P 08/29-06 25 5 1 48 66 SW 7 7 3 1 SW17 130 SW 8 866 P 08/29-07 25 5 1 50 61 SW 7 7 3 1 SW17 209 SW 8 1505 P 08/29-08 25 5 1 54 50 SW 7 7 3 1 SW16 288 SW 8 2144 P 08/29-09 31 7 1 60 41 SW 7 7 3 1 SW16 368 SW 9 2783 P 08/29-10 31 7 1 64 34 SW 8 8 3 1 SW16 2884 SW10 31585 P 08/29-11 31 7 1 67 30 SW 8 14 3 1 SW17 5401 SW12 60387 G 08/29-12 59 21 4 70 27 W 9 15 3 3 SW17 7918 W13 89190 G 08/29-13 59 21 4 72 25 SW10 16 3 3 SW17 8923 W13 97361 G 08/29-14 59 21 4 73 25 SW10 16 3 3 SW16 9927 SW13 105532 V 08/29-15 59 21 4 74 24 SW10 16 3 3 SW15 10931 SW12 113703 V 08/29-16 59 21 4 74 25 SW10 16 3 3 SW13 10363 SW12 107297 V 08/29-17 59 21 4 72 26 SW 9 15 3 3 SW10 9795 SW12 100891 V 08/29-18 56 21 4 72 27 SW 9 15 3 3 SW 9 9227 SW12 94485 G 08/29-19 56 21 4 68 31 SW 9 15 3 3 SW 9 6231 SW12 63695 G 08/29-20 56 21 4 65 37 SW 9 15 3 3 SW 9 3234 SW10 32904 P 08/29-21 56 21 4 62 41 SW 9 15 3 3 SW10 238 SW10 2114 P 08/29-22 56 21 4 60 45 SW 9 15 3 3 SW10 212 SW10 1845 P 08/29-23 56 21 4 58 49 SW 9 15 3 3 SW12 186 SW 9 1576 P 08/30-00 39 2 0 55 56 SW 9 15 3 1 SW12 160 SW 9 1307 P 08/30-01 39 2 0 52 62 SW 9 14 3 1 SW12 151 SW 9 1197 P 08/30-02 39 2 0 50 66 SW 8 14 3 1 SW10 141 SW 9 1087 P 08/30-03 39 2 0 49 68 SW 8 13 3 1 SW10 131 SW 8 977 P 08/30-04 39 2 0 49 69 SW 8 8 3 1 SW12 131 SW 8 940 P 08/30-05 39 2 0 48 69 SW 7 7 3 1 S13 131 SW 8 903 P 08/30-06 35 6 1 48 67 SW 7 7 3 1 S13 131 SW 8 866 P 08/30-07 35 6 1 50 63 SW 7 7 3 1 S14 202 SW 8 1362 P 08/30-08 35 6 1 53 53 SW 7 7 3 1 S14 272 SW 8 1858 P 08/30-09 54 10 2 58 44 SW 7 7 3 1 S15 342 SW 8 2354 P 08/30-10 54 10 2 62 37 SW 7 7 3 1 S16 2957 SW 8 17973 P 08/30-11 54 10 2 65 34 SW 7 7 3 1 S17 5571 SW 7 33591 P 08/30-12 70 41 18 67 31 SW 7 7 3 4 S18 8186 SW 7 49209 F 08/30-13 70 41 18 69 29 SW 7 7 3 4 S17 8684 SW 7 52879 F 08/30-14 70 41 18 69 29 SW 7 7 3 4 S16 9183 SW 7 56550 F 08/30-15 70 41 18 70 29 S 7 7 3 4 S15 9682 SW 7 60220 G 08/30-16 70 41 18 70 30 S 6 6 3 4 SW14 9271 SW 7 54013 F 08/30-17 70 41 18 69 33 S 6 6 3 4 SW15 8860 S 6 47806 F 08/30-18 64 22 4 69 35 S 5 5 3 3 SW15 8449 S 6 41599 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...BRETT CHOUINARD REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120827.ROACH.01/BOU