FNUS75 KMSO 280946
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR CONDON MOUNTAIN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
346 AM MDT TUE AUG 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2157 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG WINDS TO BE MAIN IMPACT TO FIRE NEXT FEW DAYS...

.DISCUSSION...PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE TODAY,
KEEPING TEMPERATURES WARM WITH INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE ABLE TO MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE, WITH THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE FIRE
BEING MOST PRONE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE TIMING OF THE
WINDS TO KICK UP WILL BE ROUGHLY AROUND 1500 MDT, AND WILL
CONTINUE IN THIS MANNER UNTIL 2000 OR SLIGHTLY THEREAFTER.
OTHERWISE, WARM, DRY, AND SUNNY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE STORY
TODAY. POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL EXIST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

AS A HEADS-UP: THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE
EVEN WINDIER WEDNESDAY, WITH A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO
CROSS THE FIRE AND BRING FURTHER IMPACTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...89-94.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...13-18 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...22-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST 9-14 MPH WITH
                    HIGHER GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOWER
                    ELEVATIONS OF THE FIRE WILL GUST UP TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...45-50.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...68-74 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....LOWER ELEVATION...80-86.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...69-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........LOWER ELEVATION...23-29 PERCENT.
                    UPPER ELEVATION...34-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    15-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...DAVE LATTIMORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120827.CONDO.01/MSO