FNUS75 KMSO 272156
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR FELAN GULCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
356 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1527 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER YOUR FIRE STARTS TO
BREAK DOWN AND SHIFT EAST...AS A LOW DIGS DOWN THE COAST. THIS
WILL START TO EFFECT YOUR WINDS BY ABOUT 10AM ON TUESDAY AS THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. THE WINDS WILL DEVELOP GUSTS TO 30
MPH AROUND 3PM AS THE JET SLIDES DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
FIRE. EXPECT THE WINDS TO DECREASE A LITTLE AFTER SUN SET...BUT
REMAIN AROUND 5-10 MPH. THEN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING...GUSTY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AFTER SUN RISE AND AHEAD OF THE DRY COLD FRONT.
EXPECT THE FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE BETWEEN 10AM AND
NOON...WHEN WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

$$
FORECASTER...KOLATA
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120827.FELAN.01/MSO