FNUS75 KRIW 281028
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTE CREEK...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
428 AM MDT TUE AUG 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2045 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE DRY AND WARM THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST
WIND. LOW RH'S IN THE TEENS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE WILL LIKELY STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-8100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE MORNING (58500 KNOT-FT) BECOMING VERY
                    GOOD (120000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-48 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 11 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50000-59000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500-8000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 27 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (75000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (200000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...USFS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120827.BUTTE.02/RIW