FNUS75 KRIW 271812
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BUFFALO...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1212 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1205 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REACH THE AREA AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AFTER A DRY
INTRUSION KEPT CLOUDS AT BAY THIS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 1400 OVER THE FIRE AREA. BREEZY
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING LATE THIS EVENING. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY WILL SEE THE
APPROACH OF A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING STRONGER WIND
AND AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.



...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 11
                    TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AFTER 1400.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH BY 1700.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-56 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTY
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 11 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...NORTH BUFFALO FIRE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120827.NORTH.01/RIW