FNUS75 KBOU 290250 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR TRACK FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 844 PM MDT TUE AUG 28 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED FOR THE EVENING WITH GRADUAL CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A VERY LIGHT WESTERLY WIND FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT UNDER 10 MPH. THERE WILL BE ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....59. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....90. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60. MAX HUMIDITY........55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 10200-11200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR TRACK FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/28-20 53 20 2 79 26 SW 5 5 4 2 SW 6 5200 SW 6 18360 P 08/28-21 53 5 1 76 29 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 7 1560 SW 6 8436 P 08/28-22 53 5 1 75 31 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 8 1126 SW 6 5946 P 08/28-23 53 5 1 73 34 W 5 5 4 1 SW 9 691 SW 5 3457 P 08/29-00 42 5 1 70 37 W 5 5 4 1 SW12 256 SW 5 968 P 08/29-01 42 5 1 66 42 W 5 5 4 1 SW13 212 SW 5 840 P 08/29-02 42 5 1 64 45 W 5 5 4 1 SW14 167 W 5 712 P 08/29-03 32 5 1 62 48 W 6 6 4 1 SW15 123 W 6 583 P 08/29-04 32 5 1 61 51 W 6 6 4 1 SW15 119 W 6 598 P 08/29-05 32 5 1 59 56 W 6 6 4 1 W14 115 W 6 612 P 08/29-06 23 4 1 61 54 W 6 6 4 1 W13 111 W 7 626 P 08/29-07 23 4 1 62 51 W 5 5 4 1 W13 239 W 5 678 P 08/29-08 23 4 1 67 42 SW 3 3 4 1 W12 367 W 3 729 P 08/29-09 19 4 1 73 33 SW 2 2 4 1 W10 495 W 2 780 P 08/29-10 19 4 1 76 28 SW 3 3 4 1 W10 2897 W 2 9112 P 08/29-11 19 4 1 80 23 S 5 5 4 1 W 9 5299 W 3 17444 P 08/29-12 38 6 1 83 20 SE 6 6 4 1 W 9 7701 NW 3 25775 P 08/29-13 38 6 1 86 18 S 7 7 4 1 W 8 9552 W 3 26890 P 08/29-14 38 6 1 88 17 S 8 8 4 1 W 6 11402 W 3 28004 P 08/29-15 43 10 2 90 16 S 9 14 4 2 W 5 13253 SW 2 29118 P 08/29-16 43 10 2 90 16 S 9 15 4 2 W 3 12896 SW 3 32957 P 08/29-17 43 10 2 89 18 S 9 15 3 2 SW 3 12540 SW 3 36796 P 08/29-18 61 17 3 87 20 S 9 14 3 3 S 5 11068 SW 3 36122 P 08/29-19 61 17 3 83 23 S 8 8 3 3 S 7 7501 SW 5 24690 P 08/29-20 61 17 3 79 27 SW 7 7 3 3 S 8 3934 SW 5 13258 P 08/29-21 61 17 3 76 30 W 6 6 3 3 SW10 367 W 6 1825 P 08/29-22 61 17 3 74 33 W 5 5 3 3 SW10 297 SW 6 1438 P 08/29-23 61 17 3 72 36 W 5 5 3 3 SW12 228 SW 5 1052 P 08/30-00 30 2 0 69 42 W 5 5 3 1 SW10 158 SW 5 665 P 08/30-01 30 2 0 66 46 W 6 6 3 1 SW12 141 W 6 635 P 08/30-02 30 2 0 64 50 W 6 6 3 1 SW12 124 W 6 606 P 08/30-03 30 2 0 63 52 W 7 7 3 1 SW10 107 W 6 577 P 08/30-04 30 2 0 62 54 W 7 7 3 1 SW10 108 W 6 554 P 08/30-05 30 2 0 62 55 W 7 7 3 1 SW 9 108 W 6 530 P 08/30-06 29 5 1 62 53 W 6 6 3 1 SW 8 109 W 6 507 P 08/30-07 29 5 1 63 48 NW 5 5 3 1 SW 6 181 NW 5 659 P 08/30-08 29 5 1 68 39 N 3 3 3 1 SW 5 254 N 5 810 P 08/30-09 36 3 1 73 31 N 2 2 3 1 SW 3 327 N 3 961 P 08/30-10 36 3 1 78 26 N 2 2 3 1 SW 3 2447 NE 3 6534 P 08/30-11 36 3 1 81 24 NE 3 3 3 1 S 5 4568 E 3 12106 P 08/30-12 63 18 4 83 23 E 5 5 3 3 S 6 6688 E 3 17679 P 08/30-13 63 18 4 85 21 E 5 5 3 3 S 7 8253 E 5 33462 P 08/30-14 63 18 4 86 21 E 5 5 3 3 SE 9 9818 SE 6 49245 F 08/30-15 63 18 4 87 20 SE 5 5 3 3 SE12 11384 SE 7 65028 G 08/30-16 63 18 4 87 21 E 3 3 3 3 SE13 9901 SE 7 57080 F 08/30-17 63 18 4 86 23 NE 2 2 4 3 SE15 8419 SE 7 49131 F 08/30-18 54 17 3 85 24 CALM 1 4 3 SE16 6937 SE 7 41182 F 08/30-19 54 17 3 81 29 N 2 2 4 3 SE15 4742 S 7 28207 P 08/30-20 54 17 3 77 35 W 3 3 4 3 SE14 2547 SW 7 15231 P 08/30-21 54 17 3 75 39 W 5 5 4 3 S13 352 W 7 2255 P 08/30-22 54 17 3 73 42 W 5 5 4 3 S15 310 W 6 1702 P 08/30-23 54 17 3 70 44 W 3 3 3 3 S16 267 W 5 1149 P 08/31-00 31 6 1 67 48 W 3 3 3 1 S18 225 W 3 596 P 08/31-01 31 6 1 65 54 W 5 5 3 1 S17 207 W 5 710 P 08/31-02 31 6 1 63 59 W 6 6 3 1 S16 188 W 6 823 P 08/31-03 31 6 1 62 62 NW 7 7 3 1 S15 169 NW 7 936 P 08/31-04 31 6 1 61 62 NW 7 7 3 1 SW13 168 NW 6 837 P 08/31-05 31 6 1 61 60 W 6 6 3 1 SW10 166 NW 5 738 P 08/31-06 40 7 1 61 58 W 5 5 3 1 SW 9 164 NW 5 639 P 08/31-07 40 7 1 62 55 NW 3 3 3 1 W 8 333 NW 5 1441 P 08/31-08 40 7 1 66 48 NW 2 2 3 1 W 8 502 NW 5 2242 P 08/31-09 40 12 2 71 41 N 2 2 3 1 NW 8 672 N 6 3043 P 08/31-10 40 12 2 76 36 N 2 2 3 1 NW 9 2718 N 7 20103 P 08/31-11 40 12 2 78 33 E 3 3 3 1 NW10 4764 N 8 37164 P 08/31-12 52 9 2 80 31 E 5 5 3 1 N10 6811 N 9 54224 F 08/31-13 52 9 2 82 30 E 5 5 3 1 N10 7673 N 8 49484 F 08/31-14 52 9 2 83 29 SE 5 5 3 1 N 9 8535 N 6 44743 F 08/31-15 52 9 2 84 28 SE 5 5 3 1 N 8 9397 N 5 40003 F 08/31-16 52 9 2 84 28 SE 5 5 3 1 N 8 8092 NE 3 28405 P 08/31-17 52 9 2 83 28 SE 3 3 3 1 N 7 6788 NE 2 16807 P 08/31-18 44 9 2 82 27 SE 3 3 3 1 N 6 5483 CALM 5209 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KRISTEN OWEN - COMM SPEC REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120828.BEART.01/BOU