FNUS75 KMSO 282150
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR FELAN GULCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
350 PM MDT TUE AUG 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1501 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER THE FIRE
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A DRY COLD FRONT. CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES
ARE EXPECTED AND THUS A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. THE WIND WILL GRADUALLY BECOME NORTHWESTERLY LATE TONIGHT,
WHILE EXHIBITING A DECREASING TREND OVERNIGHT. COOLER TEMPERATURES
WITH RELATIVELY HIGHER HUMIDITY READINGS CAN BE EXPECTED BY
THURSDAY MORNING. HOWEVER THIS REPRIEVE APPEARS TO BE VERY BRIEF
AS ANOTHER PUSH OF DRY AIR IS SET TO MOVE OVER THE FIRE ON
THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.
HOWEVER AT THIS TIME THERE APPEARS TO BE LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG WINDS WITH TERRAIN CHANNELED GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-11 MPH INCREASING TO 17-20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
                    DECREASING TO 8-14 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. BECOMING DOWN SLOPE/DOWN CANYON 3-6
                    MPH BY SUNRISE.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 8-16 MPH
                    AND GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$

FORECASTER...DICKERSON
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120828.FELAN.01/MSO