FNUS75 KBOU 292132 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HATCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 316 PM MDT WED AUG 29 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORMS WERE DEVELOPING OVER EAST CENTRAL PARK COUNTY NEAR TARRYALL IN THE LAST HOUR. THE STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2200...A FEW DRY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-89. MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800-9800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-57. MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS A FEW DRY AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....96-98. MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12600-13600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HATCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/29-15 76 19 4 81 19 NE 7 7 4 3 SW 7 8844 S 5 36090 P 08/29-16 67 19 4 83 17 NE 7 7 4 3 SW 7 9345 S 5 40193 F 08/29-17 57 19 4 85 15 NE 6 6 5 3 SW 8 9846 S 5 44297 F 08/29-18 53 20 4 81 16 E 6 6 5 3 SW 8 10346 SE 6 48400 F 08/29-19 53 20 4 78 18 E 6 6 5 3 SW 8 7203 SE 7 35004 P 08/29-20 53 20 4 73 23 SE 5 5 5 3 SW 8 4060 S 9 21608 P 08/29-21 53 16 3 70 26 SE 5 5 5 3 SW 7 917 S10 8212 P 08/29-22 53 16 3 68 29 S 5 5 5 3 SW 6 697 S10 6191 P 08/29-23 53 16 3 66 31 SW 5 5 5 3 S 5 478 SW10 4170 P 08/30-00 28 1 0 64 34 SW 6 6 5 1 S 5 258 SW 9 2149 P 08/30-01 28 1 0 62 37 SW 7 7 5 1 S 5 228 SW 9 1877 P 08/30-02 28 1 0 61 40 SW 8 8 5 1 SW 6 198 SW 9 1604 P 08/30-03 28 1 0 60 43 SW 8 13 5 1 SW 7 168 SW 9 1331 P 08/30-04 28 1 0 59 44 SW 8 13 5 1 SW 6 153 SW 8 1116 P 08/30-05 28 1 0 58 46 SW 8 8 5 1 W 6 137 W 7 900 P 08/30-06 27 5 1 57 49 SW 7 7 5 1 NW 5 122 W 7 684 P 08/30-07 27 5 1 58 51 SW 6 6 5 1 NW 5 1352 W 6 5162 P 08/30-08 27 5 1 64 44 SW 5 5 5 1 N 5 2581 N 5 9640 P 08/30-09 28 0 0 73 33 SW 3 3 5 1 N 5 3811 N 5 14118 P 08/30-10 28 0 0 79 26 S 3 3 5 1 NE 5 7204 NE 5 29309 P 08/30-11 28 0 0 84 20 SE 3 3 5 1 E 5 10597 NE 5 44501 F 08/30-12 44 10 2 87 17 E 5 5 5 2 E 5 13989 E 5 59692 F 08/30-13 44 10 2 86 17 E 6 6 5 2 E 6 13421 E 6 65606 G 08/30-14 44 10 2 84 18 E 7 7 5 2 SE 7 12852 E 7 71519 G 08/30-15 49 10 2 83 19 E 7 7 5 2 SE 8 12283 E 7 77432 G 08/30-16 49 10 2 82 21 E 7 7 5 2 SE 8 12378 E 7 78975 G 08/30-17 49 10 2 82 24 SE 6 6 4 2 SE 8 12473 SE 7 80517 G 08/30-18 54 21 4 84 25 SE 6 6 3 3 SE 7 12568 SE 8 82060 G 08/30-19 54 21 4 80 30 SE 6 6 3 3 SE 7 9264 SE 9 65508 G 08/30-20 54 21 4 75 35 SE 7 7 4 3 SE 7 5960 S12 48957 F 08/30-21 54 21 4 72 40 S 7 7 4 3 SE 6 2657 S14 32405 P 08/30-22 54 21 4 70 42 S 7 7 4 3 SE 7 1893 S14 23073 P 08/30-23 54 21 4 67 45 S 7 7 3 3 SE 8 1130 S14 13742 P 08/31-00 34 5 1 64 49 S 7 7 3 1 E 8 366 S14 4410 P 08/31-01 34 5 1 61 55 S 7 7 3 1 SE 7 305 S12 3390 P 08/31-02 34 5 1 59 60 SW 7 7 3 1 S 6 244 SW10 2371 P 08/31-03 34 5 1 57 63 SW 7 7 3 1 SW 5 183 SW 8 1351 P 08/31-04 34 5 1 57 66 SW 8 8 3 1 SW 6 174 SW 8 1263 P 08/31-05 34 5 1 56 68 SW 8 13 3 1 W 8 165 SW 8 1176 P 08/31-06 43 7 1 56 68 SW 8 13 3 1 W 9 156 SW 8 1088 P 08/31-07 43 7 1 58 64 SW 7 7 3 1 W 8 704 SW 6 1400 P 08/31-08 43 7 1 62 55 SW 5 5 3 1 NW 7 1252 S 3 1713 P 08/31-09 43 9 2 68 45 SW 3 3 3 1 NW 6 1799 CALM 2026 P 08/31-10 43 9 2 73 37 S 5 5 3 1 NW 6 4184 CALM 4499 P 08/31-11 43 9 2 75 34 SE 6 6 3 1 N 5 6568 CALM 6972 P 08/31-12 56 10 2 78 31 E 7 7 3 2 N 5 8952 CALM 9445 P 08/31-13 56 10 2 80 29 E 8 13 3 2 N 3 9842 CALM 13090 P 08/31-14 56 10 2 81 28 E 8 14 2 2 NW 3 10731 SE 2 16735 P 08/31-15 56 10 2 82 27 E 9 15 2 2 W 3 11621 SE 2 20380 P 08/31-16 56 10 2 82 27 E10 16 2 2 W 5 11095 SE 3 27419 P 08/31-17 56 10 2 81 28 E10 17 2 2 W 7 10570 S 3 34458 P 08/31-18 50 10 2 80 29 E10 16 2 2 W 8 10044 S 5 41496 F 08/31-19 50 10 2 77 32 SE 9 14 2 2 SW 9 7315 S 8 34624 P 08/31-20 50 10 2 73 37 SE 7 7 3 2 SW10 4586 S10 27752 P 08/31-21 50 10 2 70 40 S 6 6 3 2 SW10 1857 S13 20879 P 08/31-22 50 10 2 68 43 S 6 6 3 2 SW10 1365 S14 15531 P 08/31-23 50 10 2 66 46 S 7 7 2 2 W 8 874 S14 10182 P 09/01-00 36 5 1 63 51 S 8 13 2 1 W 7 382 S15 4833 P 09/01-01 36 5 1 61 56 SW 8 13 2 1 W 7 316 S13 3745 P 09/01-02 36 5 1 59 59 SW 8 13 3 1 NW 8 249 SW12 2657 P 09/01-03 36 5 1 58 60 SW 8 13 3 1 NW 8 183 SW10 1568 P 09/01-04 36 5 1 57 60 SW 9 14 3 1 NW 9 173 SW 9 1410 P 09/01-05 36 5 1 57 60 SW 9 15 3 1 NW10 162 W 9 1251 P 09/01-06 35 7 1 57 59 SW 9 15 3 1 NW12 151 W 8 1092 P 09/01-07 35 7 1 58 56 SW 7 7 3 1 NW12 620 W 7 2882 P 09/01-08 35 7 1 63 46 SW 5 5 3 1 NW10 1089 NW 6 4673 P 09/01-09 35 7 1 69 38 W 3 3 3 1 NW10 1557 NW 5 6463 P 09/01-10 35 7 1 74 32 W 3 3 3 1 NW10 4171 NW 5 18090 P 09/01-11 35 7 1 77 29 N 5 5 2 1 W10 6785 NW 5 29717 P 09/01-12 56 10 2 80 27 NE 6 6 2 2 W10 9399 NW 5 41345 F 09/01-13 56 10 2 81 25 NE 7 7 2 2 W12 10205 NW 5 40704 F 09/01-14 56 10 2 83 25 NE 8 13 3 2 W12 11011 W 5 40064 F 09/01-15 56 10 2 84 24 NE 8 13 3 2 W12 11817 W 3 39423 P 09/01-16 56 10 2 83 25 E 7 7 3 2 SW10 11512 SW 3 32375 P 09/01-17 56 10 2 82 26 SE 5 5 3 2 SW 9 11206 SW 2 25328 P 09/01-18 60 8 2 82 27 SE 2 2 3 2 SW 8 10901 SW 2 18280 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120829.HATCH.01/BOU