FNUS75 KBOU 300024 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROACH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 614 PM MDT WED AUG 29 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN REDEVELOP AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 35 MPH AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ON THURSDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-46. MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR...THEN POOR AFTER 0300. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75. MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9200-10200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-47. MAX HUMIDITY........73-76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH. 0300. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST/SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8000-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROACH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/29-18 59 22 4 72 26 W13 21 4 3 W12 9858 W10 89548 G 08/29-19 59 22 4 70 29 W13 20 4 3 W10 6637 W10 60361 G 08/29-20 59 22 4 65 35 SW12 18 4 3 W 8 3416 SW12 31175 P 08/29-21 59 17 3 58 48 SW10 16 4 3 W 7 194 SW12 1988 P 08/29-22 59 17 3 53 60 SW 9 15 4 3 W 7 176 SW10 1624 P 08/29-23 59 17 3 52 65 SW 8 13 4 3 SW 8 158 SW 9 1260 P 08/30-00 46 2 0 50 71 SW 7 7 4 1 SW 9 139 SW 7 896 P 08/30-01 46 2 0 48 76 SW 7 7 4 1 SW12 132 SW 7 798 P 08/30-02 46 2 0 46 80 SW 6 6 4 1 SW13 125 SW 7 701 P 08/30-03 46 2 0 45 82 SW 6 6 4 1 SW14 118 SW 6 603 P 08/30-04 46 2 0 45 84 SW 6 6 4 1 SW13 120 SW 6 584 P 08/30-05 46 2 0 46 81 SW 5 5 4 1 SW10 121 SW 6 565 P 08/30-06 51 6 1 45 82 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 8 123 SW 5 546 P 08/30-07 51 6 1 45 84 SW 5 5 4 1 SW 8 160 SW 5 608 P 08/30-08 51 6 1 48 76 SW 3 3 4 1 SW 7 196 SW 5 669 P 08/30-09 51 7 1 56 57 SW 3 3 4 1 SW 7 233 SW 3 731 P 08/30-10 51 7 1 60 48 S 2 2 4 1 SW 6 3127 SW 3 4637 P 08/30-11 51 7 1 64 39 CALM 1 4 1 SW 5 6021 S 2 8544 P 08/30-12 64 35 14 68 33 CALM 0 4 4 SW 5 8915 CALM 12451 P 08/30-13 64 35 14 70 31 CALM 1 4 4 S 6 9373 S 2 22199 P 08/30-14 64 35 14 72 28 SE 2 2 4 4 S 7 9831 S 3 31947 P 08/30-15 69 35 14 71 29 SE 3 3 4 4 S 8 10289 SE 5 41695 F 08/30-16 69 35 14 72 29 SE 5 5 4 4 S10 10138 SE 5 44794 F 08/30-17 69 35 14 72 29 SE 5 5 3 4 S12 9987 SE 6 47893 F 08/30-18 64 22 4 70 33 SE 6 6 3 3 S13 9836 SE 6 50992 F 08/30-19 64 22 4 67 38 SE 7 7 3 3 S13 6902 SE 7 36940 P 08/30-20 64 22 4 63 44 SE 8 13 3 3 SE13 3968 SE 8 22889 P 08/30-21 64 22 4 61 49 S 9 15 3 3 SE12 1035 SE10 8838 P 08/30-22 64 22 4 59 53 S 8 13 3 3 SE13 773 S 8 6152 P 08/30-23 64 22 4 57 57 SW 6 6 3 3 S14 511 SW 6 3465 P 08/31-00 40 4 1 54 63 SW 3 3 3 1 S14 249 SW 3 779 P 08/31-01 40 4 1 52 68 SW 3 3 3 1 S13 220 SW 3 701 P 08/31-02 40 4 1 50 72 SW 3 3 3 1 SW12 192 SW 3 623 P 08/31-03 40 4 1 49 73 SW 3 3 3 1 SW 9 163 SW 3 544 P 08/31-04 40 4 1 49 73 SW 3 3 3 1 SW 8 159 SW 5 606 P 08/31-05 40 4 1 48 73 SW 5 5 3 1 SW 6 154 SW 5 668 P 08/31-06 53 9 2 49 71 SW 5 5 3 1 W 5 150 SW 6 729 P 08/31-07 53 9 2 50 66 SW 5 5 3 1 W 5 270 SW 6 1578 P 08/31-08 53 9 2 54 57 SW 5 5 3 1 W 5 391 SW 7 2427 P 08/31-09 53 14 3 58 47 SW 5 5 3 1 W 5 512 SW 7 3276 P 08/31-10 53 14 3 62 40 SW 3 3 3 1 NW 5 2964 SW 6 6440 P 08/31-11 53 14 3 65 37 W 3 3 3 1 NW 5 5417 W 3 9604 P 08/31-12 70 29 8 67 34 W 2 2 3 4 NW 3 7869 W 2 12768 P 08/31-13 70 29 8 68 32 W 2 2 3 4 NW 3 8233 W 2 16752 P 08/31-14 70 29 8 69 32 W 3 3 3 4 W 3 8597 W 2 20737 P 08/31-15 70 29 8 70 31 W 3 3 3 4 W 3 8961 W 3 24721 P 08/31-16 70 29 8 70 32 W 3 3 3 4 W 3 8624 W 3 28304 P 08/31-17 70 29 8 69 34 SW 5 5 3 4 W 5 8286 SW 5 31887 P 08/31-18 51 24 5 68 35 SW 5 5 3 3 W 5 7949 SW 5 35470 P 08/31-19 51 24 5 65 39 SW 5 5 3 3 SW 6 5372 SW 6 24022 P 08/31-20 51 24 5 62 45 SW 6 6 3 3 SW 7 2796 SW 6 12574 P 08/31-21 51 24 5 59 49 S 6 6 3 3 SW 8 219 SW 6 1126 P 08/31-22 51 24 5 58 52 SW 6 6 3 3 SW10 198 SW 6 1030 P 08/31-23 51 24 5 56 56 SW 6 6 3 3 W12 178 SW 6 933 P 09/01-00 37 7 1 53 61 SW 6 6 3 1 W13 158 SW 6 836 P 09/01-01 37 7 1 51 66 SW 6 6 3 1 W14 149 SW 6 803 P 09/01-02 37 7 1 49 69 SW 6 6 3 1 W14 140 SW 7 770 P 09/01-03 37 7 1 48 70 SW 6 6 3 1 SW14 131 SW 7 736 P 09/01-04 37 7 1 48 70 SW 6 6 3 1 SW14 131 SW 7 745 P 09/01-05 37 7 1 47 70 SW 6 6 3 1 SW13 131 SW 7 753 P 09/01-06 44 10 2 48 69 SW 6 6 3 2 SW13 131 SW 7 761 P 09/01-07 44 10 2 49 65 SW 6 6 3 2 SW13 197 SW 7 1261 P 09/01-08 44 10 2 53 55 SW 6 6 3 2 W12 263 SW 8 1761 P 09/01-09 44 10 2 57 47 SW 6 6 3 2 W12 329 SW 8 2261 P 09/01-10 44 10 2 62 40 SW 7 7 3 2 W10 2516 SW 9 23360 P 09/01-11 44 10 2 64 36 W 8 13 3 2 SW10 4704 W10 44459 F 09/01-12 59 17 3 66 34 W 9 15 3 3 SW12 6891 W12 65559 G 09/01-13 59 17 3 68 32 W10 16 3 3 SW13 7477 W12 75073 G 09/01-14 59 17 3 69 31 W12 17 3 3 SW14 8063 W12 84588 G 09/01-15 59 17 3 69 30 W12 18 3 3 SW16 8649 SW13 94102 G 09/01-16 59 17 3 69 30 W12 18 3 3 SW17 8188 W14 94069 G 09/01-17 59 17 3 68 31 W12 18 3 3 SW17 7727 W14 94035 G 09/01-18 61 15 3 68 32 SW12 18 3 3 SW17 7266 W15 94002 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BRETT CHOUINARD REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120829.ROACH.01/BOU