FNUS75 KRIW 291700
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BUFFALO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1100 AM MDT WED AUG 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1023 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL BE WARM AND BREEZY THROUGH THIS EVENING. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS SHOULD EXIST UNTIL AROUND 9 PM. OTHERWISE...IT SHOULD
BE DRY WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...THEN
MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASES OVER NORTHWEST WYOMING. ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD ALSO BE A LITTLE HIGHER ON
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LYNOTT

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300-11300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (103200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (210800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 11
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (112100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (3300 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12
                    TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500-12400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (160400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LYNOTT
REQUESTED BY...USFS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120829.NORTH.01/RIW