FNUS75 KBYZ 301828
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK FIRE...PARK COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1228 PM MDT THU AUG 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1208 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE SITE TODAY... WITH
HUMIDITY DROPPING TO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS OR LOW TEENS FOR MUCH
OF THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS AND MIXING SHOULD INCREASE AS
THE AFTERNOON WEARS ON...AND GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE BY MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH IN THE VALLEY AFTER
SUNSET TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY. ANY SHOWERS
OR STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THE AREA TOMORROW WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 8-13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH 5-10 MPH. EVENING GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH. EVENING GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC
                    WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-20
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

$$
FORECASTER...LESTER
REQUESTED BY...PARK COUNTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120830.PINEC.02/BYZ