FNUS75 KBOU 010106 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ROACH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 705 PM MDT FRI AUG 31 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...CURRENT CONDITIONS INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER FIRE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THIS EVENING...THEN PARTIAL CLEARING AFTER MIDNIGHT. NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A RESULTING LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THERE IS STILL ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70-80%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8400-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8000-8200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ROACH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/31-18 55 25 5 70 31 SW 8 13 5 4 SW18 9324 SW12 93992 G 08/31-19 55 25 5 68 34 SW 7 7 5 4 SW18 6288 SW 9 62999 G 08/31-20 55 25 5 64 42 SW 5 5 4 4 SW17 3252 SW 7 32007 P 08/31-21 55 25 5 58 54 S 5 5 4 4 SW17 217 SW 6 1014 P 08/31-22 55 25 5 54 61 S 6 6 4 4 SW20 204 SW 8 1293 P 08/31-23 55 25 5 53 62 S 8 14 4 4 SW22 191 SW 9 1572 P 09/01-00 29 2 0 52 63 S10 16 4 1 SW25 178 SW12 1850 P 09/01-01 29 2 0 50 68 S10 16 4 1 SW26 165 SW12 1628 P 09/01-02 29 2 0 49 72 SW 9 15 4 1 SW28 153 SW10 1406 P 09/01-03 29 2 0 48 75 SW 8 13 4 1 SW29 141 SW 9 1184 P 09/01-04 29 2 0 47 73 SW 8 8 4 1 SW29 142 SW 9 1144 P 09/01-05 29 2 0 47 69 SW 7 7 3 1 SW29 143 SW 9 1105 P 09/01-06 45 2 0 47 67 SW 7 7 3 1 SW28 144 SW 8 1065 P 09/01-07 45 2 0 47 71 SW 6 6 3 1 SW26 223 SW 9 1714 P 09/01-08 45 2 0 50 66 SW 6 6 3 1 SW26 301 SW 9 2362 P 09/01-09 45 2 0 56 54 SW 6 6 3 1 SW25 379 SW 9 3011 P 09/01-10 45 10 2 60 46 SW 7 7 3 2 SW26 3173 SW13 49736 F 09/01-11 45 10 2 64 38 SW 9 15 4 2 SW28 5967 SW16 96461 G 09/01-12 65 23 5 68 33 SW12 18 4 3 SW29 8762 SW18 143185 V 09/01-13 65 23 5 70 30 SW13 20 4 3 SW29 8951 SW18 145999 V 09/01-14 65 23 5 71 29 SW13 21 4 3 SW28 9141 SW18 148812 V 09/01-15 65 23 5 69 31 SW13 21 4 3 SW28 9331 SW18 151626 E 09/01-16 65 23 5 71 29 SW13 20 4 3 SW28 8900 SW18 141751 V 09/01-17 65 23 5 71 28 SW12 20 4 3 SW28 8469 SW18 131877 V 09/01-18 81 20 4 69 30 SW13 21 4 3 SW28 9581 SW22 182003 E 09/01-19 81 20 4 67 32 SW13 20 4 3 SW28 6506 SW20 122772 V 09/01-20 81 20 4 63 37 SW12 18 3 3 SW28 3431 SW16 63540 G 09/01-21 81 20 4 58 44 SW12 17 3 3 SW28 355 SW14 4309 P 09/01-22 81 20 4 54 51 SW10 16 3 3 SW29 315 SW13 3612 P 09/01-23 81 20 4 53 53 SW 9 15 3 3 SW30 275 SW12 2916 P 09/02-00 78 10 2 52 55 SW 8 14 3 1 SW30 236 SW10 2220 P 09/02-01 78 10 2 51 58 SW 8 8 3 1 SW30 221 SW10 1989 P 09/02-02 78 10 2 50 61 SW 7 7 3 1 SW29 207 SW 9 1758 P 09/02-03 78 10 2 49 63 SW 7 7 3 1 SW29 193 W 9 1527 P 09/02-04 78 10 2 48 65 SW 6 6 3 1 SW28 200 W 9 1600 P 09/02-05 78 10 2 49 65 SW 6 6 3 1 SW26 208 W 9 1673 P 09/02-06 63 21 4 48 67 SW 6 6 3 3 SW25 215 W 9 1746 P 09/02-07 63 21 4 48 68 SW 7 7 3 3 SW23 1185 W10 13881 P 09/02-08 63 21 4 50 62 SW 8 13 2 3 SW20 2155 W13 26017 P 09/02-09 63 21 4 56 50 SW 9 14 2 3 SW17 3124 W14 38152 P 09/02-10 63 21 4 59 43 SW10 16 2 3 SW14 4843 W13 45092 F 09/02-11 63 21 4 62 36 SW12 18 3 3 SW10 6562 W10 52031 F 09/02-12 69 28 8 65 31 SW12 20 3 4 SW 9 8280 W 8 58971 F 09/02-13 69 28 8 67 29 W13 20 3 4 SW10 8252 W 9 62497 G 09/02-14 69 28 8 68 28 W12 20 3 4 SW14 8224 W 9 66023 G 09/02-15 69 28 8 66 30 W12 18 3 4 SW17 8195 W 9 69548 G 09/02-16 69 28 8 67 29 W10 17 3 4 W17 8072 W10 68626 G 09/02-17 69 28 8 67 30 W10 16 3 4 W17 7948 W10 67704 G 09/02-18 64 23 5 65 33 W 9 15 3 3 W18 7824 W10 66782 G 09/02-19 64 23 5 63 35 W 9 15 3 3 W18 5304 W10 45279 F 09/02-20 64 23 5 59 41 SW 9 15 3 3 W20 2784 SW10 23776 P 09/02-21 64 23 5 54 50 SW 9 15 3 3 W21 264 SW10 2273 P 09/02-22 64 23 5 50 59 SW 8 14 3 3 W22 234 SW 9 1936 P 09/02-23 64 23 5 49 64 SW 8 8 3 3 W22 204 SW 9 1600 P 09/03-00 56 10 2 48 68 SW 7 7 3 2 W22 173 SW 8 1263 P 09/03-01 56 10 2 46 73 SW 7 7 3 2 W23 162 SW 8 1187 P 09/03-02 56 10 2 45 76 SW 8 8 3 2 W23 151 SW 8 1110 P 09/03-03 56 10 2 44 78 SW 8 13 3 2 W24 140 SW 8 1034 P 09/03-04 56 10 2 44 79 SW 8 13 3 2 W24 139 SW 8 1006 P 09/03-05 56 10 2 44 78 SW 8 8 3 2 W25 139 SW 8 977 P 09/03-06 56 10 2 43 78 SW 7 7 3 2 W25 138 SW 8 949 P 09/03-07 56 10 2 43 78 SW 7 7 3 2 W25 235 SW 8 1847 P 09/03-08 56 10 2 46 67 SW 8 13 3 2 W24 332 W 9 2745 P 09/03-09 56 10 2 53 51 W 8 13 3 2 W24 429 W 9 3644 P 09/03-10 56 10 2 57 43 W 8 14 3 2 W24 3527 W12 42478 F 09/03-11 56 10 2 61 36 W 9 14 3 2 W25 6624 W13 81313 G 09/03-12 56 10 2 65 30 W 9 15 3 2 W26 9721 W14 120148 V 09/03-13 56 10 2 67 27 W 9 15 3 2 W26 10195 W14 127091 V 09/03-14 56 10 2 68 26 W 9 15 4 2 W26 10668 W15 134035 V 09/03-15 56 10 2 66 27 W 9 15 4 2 W26 11142 W15 140978 V 09/03-16 56 10 2 68 25 W 9 15 4 2 W25 10785 W14 128083 V 09/03-17 56 10 2 68 24 W 9 15 5 2 W23 10427 W13 115188 V 09/03-18 42 4 1 65 26 W 9 15 5 1 W22 10070 W12 102292 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...BRETT CHOUINARD REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120831.ROACH.02/BOU