FNUS75 KGJT 311824
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAS LABOR DAY FESTIVAL...SNOWMASS WILDCAT FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1223 PM MDT FRI AUG 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1117 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. MARGINALLY
DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. FLOW ALOFT IS FROM
THE SOUTHWEST WHILE WINDS AT THE SITE WILL BE LIGHT
UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY. STORMS WILL FORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS THEN
TEND TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THREATS ARE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE UNDER THE
STRONGEST STORMS. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE BEYOND
SUNSET. SATURDAY A DISTURBANCE PASSES OVER NORTHERN COLORADO
ENHANCING THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST 2-8 MPH WITH AN
                    ISOLATED GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
                    BUT BE AWARE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM FORMING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SITE THAT MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
                    ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 THIS AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 BECOMING 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST BY
                    MID MORNING INCREASING TO 3-8 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JOHN T  MELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120831.JASLA.01/GJT