FNUS76 KMFR 010055 CCA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARRY POINT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
514 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1633 PDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

CORRECTED TO ADD SUNDAY NIGHT SECTION AND IN DISCUSSION

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WELL TO THE NORTH IS MOVING INLAND TONIGHT
AND WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON SATURDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD
INTO THE AREA LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. IT WILL BE
A BIT COOLER AND LESS DRY ON SATURDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH. SATURDAY NIGHT THERE WILL BE OFFSHORE FLOW. WHILE THIS
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE LIGHT IT WILL RESULT IN MODERATE TO POOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES SATURDAY NIGHT. ON SUNDAY IT WILL HEAT
BACK UP AGAIN AND DRY OUT, WITH SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL MIXING IN THE
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE EVEN LESS ON SUNDAY
NIGHT THAN THAN THEY WILL BE ON SATURDAY NIGHT. HAINES INDEX WILL
RISE TO A 4 (LOW) ON SUNDAY, BUT WILL GET CLOSE TO A 5 (MODERATE)
LATE IN THE DAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.


.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 0-2 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING 9000 FT AGL
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    5-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 0-5 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 5-10
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3(VERY LOW).


.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT UPPER PORTION TO 35-45 PERCENT
                    BOTTOM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH DURING THE EVENING,
                    THEN NORTHEAST 0-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 0-5
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3(VERY LOW).


.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-12 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 10500 FT
                    AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-15
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4(LOW).


.SUNDAY NIGHT.......
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 BOTTOM TO 56 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT UPPER PORTION TO 30-40 PERCENT
                    BOTTOM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH, THEN NORTHEAST
                    0-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS DURING THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH DURING THE EVENING,
                    THEN NORTHEAST 0-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 0-5
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4(LOW).


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...SUE PUDDY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120831.BARRY.01/MFR