FNUS75 KRIW 011032
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BUFFALO...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
432 AM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1930 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS EVENING. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BREAK FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS
MORNING BUT BUILDING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN QUICKLY BY LATER
IN THE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF
WETTING RAINS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY
END LATER TONIGHT BRINGING ABOUT A DRY SUNDAY EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A SHOWER OVER THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-64 AT 8000 FEET AND 53-56 AT 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7
                    TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000L (45000 KNOT-FT) THEN INCREASING
                    TO GOOD (90300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2100L...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44 AT 8000 FEET AND 36-39 AT 10000 FEET.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-82 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45100 KNOT-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR AFTER
                    2200L (15000 KNOT-FT).

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9
                    TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (115000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...ROD DYKEHOUSE
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120831.NORTH.01/RIW