FNUS75 KTFX 312155
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS COMPLEX...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
355 PM MDT FRI AUG 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1516 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...NORTHERN EDGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE STREAMING INTO
SOUTHWEST MONTANA MAY REACH THE FIRE AREA AND PRODUCE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...BUT LITTLE RAINFALL
EXPECTED. WEATHER SYSTEM ALONG PACIFIC COAST WILL PUSH A DRY COLD
FRONT THRU THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AREA BY MID-AFTERNOON SATURDAY.
GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...CREATING
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THRU
SUNDAY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 THEN 1 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE AROUND
                    MID-AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    WEST AND INCREASING TO 10 TO 15
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING WEST AT
                    25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3-4.
INVERSION HEIGHT....7400 FT...INVERSION BREAKING 0900-1000 MDT.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    DURING THE EVENING...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST AT 25-30 MPH DECREASING TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...WARANAUSKAS
REQUESTED BY...KIP COLBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120831.ELBOW.02/TFX