FNUS73 KUNR 311758
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WELLNITZ FIRE...PINE RIDGE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1158 AM MDT FRI AUG 31 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1135 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 100 AND MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO NEAR 10 PERCENT.

THE WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING...HOWEVER LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS
COULD PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE POOR TONIGHT.
SATURDAY WILL BE HOT AND WINDY AGAIN...WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 TO 11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64-67.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH...LOCAL GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 TO 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12100 TO 13100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NWS
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA J  RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120831.WELLN.01/UNR