FNUS75 KGJT 012201
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAS LABOR DAY FESTIVAL...SNOWMASS WILDCAT FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
401 PM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1540 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY. FOR
THIS AFTERNOON...AT 3:45 PM...THERE ARE NO STRONG STORMS TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE FESTIVAL SITE. THIS DOES NOT RULE OUT THE
POSSIBILITY THAT A STORMS COULD STILL BRING LIGHTNING...RAIN AND
GUSTY WINDS. THE LATEST SHORT TERM MODELS HINT THAT THE FESTIVAL
SITE HAS AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 8 PM AND
MIDNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

KEEP AN EYE ON THE SKY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FESTIVAL. THE
FORMATION OF SHOWERS OR VIRGA IS A INDICATOR THAT LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. CALL US WITH
ANY CONCERNS 1-800-868-7964

.THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH WITH
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120901.JASLA.01/GJT