FNUS75 KGJT 012329
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAS LABOR DAY FESTIVAL...SNOWMASS WILDCAT FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
529 PM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1707 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY. EARLY THIS EVENING
THERE REMAINS NO STRONG STORMS NEAR THE FESTIVAL SITE. A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE ASPEN OR
AROUND 20 MILES TO THE SOUTH OF THE FESTIVAL SITE. AT THE MOMENT
RADAR TRENDS SHOW THESE STORM TRACKING ALONG THIS PATH AND SHOULD NOT
DIRECTLY AFFECT THE FESTIVAL SITE. HOWEVER GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM
THESE STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. THE LATEST SHORT TERM MODELS HINT
THAT THE FESTIVAL SITE SHOULD SEE A THREAT OF PASSING THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CALL US WITH ANY CONCERNS
1-800-868-7964...WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH RADAR TRENDS FOR
THREATS APPROACHING SNOWMASS VILLAGE THROUGH THE EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF ASPEN
                    AND SNOWMASS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
                    EARLY MORNING HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH WITH
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN T  MELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120901.JASLA.03/GJT