FNUS75 KTFX 011117
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS COMPLEX...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
517 AM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0459 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
MOIST...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOISTURE INTO
SOUTHWEST MONTANA. THIS MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BURN
AREA AND CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TODAY AND WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO THE WEST
AND STRENGTHEN AROUND 9 AM. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO
THE TEENS TODAY AND SUNDAY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH 9
PM SUNDAY EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
LAL.................1
HAINES..............3
INVERSION...........7400 FEET...INVERSION BREAKING AROUND 9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
LAL.................1
HAINES..............3


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
LAL.................1
HAINES..............4
INVERSION...........7400 FEET...INVERSION BREAKING AROUND 9 AM.

$$
FORECASTER...ZELZER
REQUESTED BY...KIP COLBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120901.ELBOW.01/TFX